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以太坊已回落至此前限制其价格走势近两年的熟悉区间。
由于关键支撑位目前承压，市场正面临一个关键时刻，可能决定以太坊（ETH）未来数月甚至数年的走势。市值第二大的加密货币已回落至2022年之前的波动区间，而该区间历史上曾导致ETH长期横盘整理。鉴于目前价格在熟悉的区间内交易，交易者必须密切关注可能决定下一步宏观走势的关键支撑位和阻力位。
要点：
Back inside the 2022 range
Ethereum’s return to the 2022 range is a significant technical breakdown. This range. between roughly $1,000 and $2,000, was home to Ethereum’s price for nearly two years before a bullish breakout finally occurred. However, that breakout has now been invalidated.
A failed attempt to hold above the range high was followed by a series of weekly bearish engulfing candles, clearly showing the market’s acceptance back into this prior zone. Historically, when Ethereum has re-entered such major ranges, it hasn’t just bounced around for weeks, it’s remained trapped for months, even years.
This return to the range isn’t just psychological, it’s structural. The lack of bullish momentum following the breakout, combined with the re-acceptance into a previously defined range, suggests the potential for a prolonged consolidation phase. If history repeats, Ethereum may oscillate within this range again for an extended period before any meaningful expansion occurs.
值得关注的关键支撑位
以太坊目前徘徊在控制点附近，即区间内交易量最大的水平。这是一条至关重要的分界线。如果以太坊未能守住这一水平，下一个需要关注的关键区域是价值区域低点。跌破这一水平将使任何剩余的看涨结构失效，并开启更深层次的回调——可能跌至1000美元以下的区间低点。
历史上，价值区域低点一直是买家的最后防线。一旦跌破该区域，可能引发“投降事件”，价格将迅速跌回2022年熊市的低点。如果发生这种情况，可能会吓跑长期持有者，并推迟任何可持续的复苏。如果以太坊想要在未来重塑看涨结构，保持在该区域上方至关重要。
Long-term outlook and investor patience
Although this scenario paints a cautious, bearish picture, it also presents opportunity for long-term accumulation—especially near the range low. However, investors should be realistic about expectations. Just like the previous consolidation period, Ethereum may take considerable time—possibly years—before any strong, sustained breakout occurs. Patience will be key. Until the structure shifts, high timeframe trend remains bearish.
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