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比特币自 10 月以来的第一个看跌信号已经出现。随着关键的美国数据即将公布，交易员们紧张不安——BTC 会守住支撑位还是跌破？ 目录比特币面临不确定性 MACD 上次转为负值是在 2024 年 4 月，并且保持了大约六个月。在此期间，比特币从 4 月底的 64,000 美元跌至 2024 年 8 月的 49,000 美元，跌幅达 23%，之后趋势才最终逆转。 带有 MACD 指标的 BTC 价格图表 | 来源：crypto.news 现在，随着宏观风险的累积和关键经济数据的公布，比特币能否重拾强势并回升至六位数，还是会面临更深层次的回调？ 本周是经济数据的重要一周 随着一系列关键经济数据的临近，本周比特币的命运悬而未决。由于通胀数据、劳动力市场更新和美联储信号都将在未来几天下降，投资者处于高度警惕状态。 美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于 2 月 11 日至 12 日在国会作证，提供有关货币政策的最新见解，所有人的目光都将集中在他身上。 此次听证会由银行、住房和城市事务委员会主办，是向国会提交的半年度货币政策报告的一部分，鲍威尔将在听证会上讨论经济状况、通胀和利率等问题。 市场正在关注美联储下一步行动的任何暗示。自 2024 年 9 月以来，随着通胀从 2022 年的高点回落，央行已将利率下调 100 个基点，降至 4.25%-4.50%。 然而，鲍威尔警告称，抗击通胀的斗争尚未结束。如果他暗示降息步伐放缓，美元可能会走强，给比特币带来压力。相反，任何降息可能加速的迹象都可能推动加密货币和股票的看涨势头。 失业救济申请和生产者价格 零售额放缓可能预示着经济状况转弱，从而增强美联储进一步降息的理由——这可能会使比特币受益。 相反，如果支出保持强劲，则可能表明通胀压力持续存在，从而使美联储更加谨慎并保持流动性紧缩，这可能会限制加密货币的上行空间。 未来波动性大吗？ 随着关键一周的到来，加密分析师正在评估比特币的下一步走势，经济数据和美联储的信号将会撼动市场情绪。 Michaël van de Poppe 仍然坚定地站在看涨阵营，他认为比特币本周可能测试 105,000 美元，并可能在月底前突破历史新高。 比特币替代计数——如果 91k 被突破会发生什么？坐下来挑战自己的偏见绝对是件好事，因此这就是我目前的替代想法。我认为，如果低于 91k，我们会看到急剧下降至 70 多，但我不认为这是一个迹象……https://t.co/LFMGI68kpM pic.twitter.com/FAKlj2ANQY— Decode (@decodejar) 2025 年 2 月 9 日 虽然他不相信牛市周期已经结束，但他认为比特币可能会经历一段更长期、更复杂的走势，而不是直线上涨。

萨尔瓦多是 2021 年第一个采用比特币作为法定货币的国家，但在国际货币基金组织的压力下，该国最近改变了决定。是什么导致了这一变化？该国近四年的加密货币实验取得了哪些成果？ 目录萨尔瓦多的奇怪案例萨尔瓦多比特币实验的结果如何？萨尔瓦多比特币实验是如何结束的？ 萨尔瓦多的奇怪案例 萨尔瓦多 2021 年的法律将比特币 (BTC) 定为法定货币，这意味着它不仅合法，而且成为交易的强制性货币。商家必须接受比特币，政府也开始以比特币收取税费等费用。 为了实现这一目标，该国推出了 Chivo 钱包，这是一款由政府支持的移动应用程序，旨在帮助萨尔瓦多人使用比特币进行交易。该应用程序允许用户发送、接收和存储比特币，甚至为下载该应用程序的用户提供 30 美元的比特币奖励。 然而，该法律并未影响美元的地位，美元曾于 2001 年至 2021 年期间担任萨尔瓦多的官方货币。这意味着不想使用比特币的萨尔瓦多人仍可使用美元进行所有交易。2021 年的民意调查显示，只有 15% 的人口信任比特币，70% 的受访者反对采用比特币。 尽管总统纳伊布·布克尔 (Nayib Bukele) 进行了媒体宣传和公关努力，但这项法律仍未能让许多萨尔瓦多人认识到其价值。 圣萨尔瓦多的抗议者点燃了政府刚刚安装的一台比特币 ATM。此次抗议是为了反对萨尔瓦多政府将比特币作为法定货币的决定。pic.twitter.com/PyW2AWbkiw— Radical Graffiti (@GraffitiRadical) 2021 年 9 月 19 日 虽然国际加密货币社区对萨尔瓦多的法律表示称赞，但该国居民却在街头抗议该法律，许多金融界人士也批评了该立法的缺陷。 一个关键问题是，全国许多商家没有能力接受比特币，而法律并没有解决这一差距。 此外，很大一部分人没有银行账户，许多企业仍然只接受现金支付。许多商家也不愿接受比特币，因为其波动性太大，担心其价值波动会导致损失。 萨尔瓦多比特币实验的结果如何？ 比特币在萨尔瓦多作为法定货币的近四年时间里，大部分都是负面结果，不过也有少数积极因素值得注意。 从积极的一面来看，2021 年比特币的采用帮助更多人接触了加密货币。一个可衡量的结果是旅游业的繁荣。比特币的采用引起了国际社会的兴趣，导致 2024 年的游客人数与 2023 年相比增加了 20%，前几年也出现了增长。 然而，更广泛的影响主要是负面的。比特币未能成为萨尔瓦多的通胀对冲工具。其极端波动性和 Chivo 钱包的技术困难等问题经常被认为是公众不愿使用比特币的原因。 事实上，该国大多数人基本上忽视了这种数字货币。到 2024 年，中美洲集团的一份报告显示，92% 的萨尔瓦多人没有使用比特币进行交易。 虽然比特币旨在促进跨境支付，但它在这方面的影响很小。2023 年，只有 1.3% 的汇款是使用比特币进行的。2022 年的一项调查还显示，86% 的本地企业没有比特币交易，91.7% 的受访者表示比特币的采用并没有影响他们。只有 3.6% 的企业报告销售额有所改善。 比特币采用策略的一个关键缺陷是时机。该法律于 2021 年颁布，一年前，比特币减半引发了加密货币的大幅上涨。 从历史上看，牛市之后总是会出现低迷，而这项法律是在另一个加密货币寒冬来临之前通过的。2022 年比特币的暴跌只会进一步打消萨尔瓦多人使用该货币的念头。 萨尔瓦多比特币实验是如何结束的？ 2021 年，萨尔瓦多创造了历史……pic.twitter.com/s6td9ju0kA— John Dennehy (@jdennehy_writes) 2025 年 2 月 3 日 国际货币基金组织的贷款将在 40 个月内发放，这意味着这些限制将在三年内实施，可能会导致比特币在该国的地位长期下降。 尽管萨尔瓦多政府为获得 IMF 贷款而改变了政策，但该国政府似乎仍坚持支持加密货币的立场。2 月 4 日，萨尔瓦多比特币办公室报告称，他们通过两笔独立交易购买了总计 12 枚 BTC。 第一次购买涉及 11 个 BTC，购买价格约为 110 万美元，平均价格为每比特币 101,816 美元。仅仅几个小时后，第二次购买又增加了 1 个 BTC，价格为 99,114 美元。

Galaxy Digital has confirmed its plans to debut on Nasdaq in May, pending shareholder and final listing approval. According to an April 30 announcement, the crypto investment firm aims to begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol GLXY on May 16, 2025. The move marks a major step in Galaxy’s long-anticipated transition to U.S. markets, which CEO Mike Novogratz described as a “transformative milestone” that supports the firm’s mission of building a gateway to digital assets and AI. Novogratz added that the Nasdaq listing would enhance shareholder value and attract a broader base of U.S. investors. Galaxy is currently listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker GLXY. Following the announcement, its shares rose 3.94% on April 30 to close at CAD $21.92 according to Google Finance data.  Before the listing can go live, Galaxy shareholders must first approve a proposed reorganisation and corporate shift from the Cayman Islands to Delaware. You might also like:Bitcoin miners may find better returns in AI than crypto, Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital suggests A special shareholder meeting is scheduled for May 9, and if the resolution passes, the newly formed Galaxy Digital Inc., incorporated in Delaware, will take over as the publicly listed entity in the U.S. The company has already cleared a major hurdle, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approving its Form S-4 registration statement on April 7. That filing outlines the details of the reorganisation, including a one-for-one share exchange for existing shareholders with no change in voting power or economic interest. Galaxy has sent voting materials to eligible shareholders ahead of the May 9 meeting, outlining the details of the reorganisation and how to cast their vote. Shareholders of record as of April 7 are eligible to participate, with TMX Investor Solutions Inc. handling the process. Once listed on Nasdaq, Galaxy Digital Inc. will continue trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange for a transitional period, maintaining dual listings in both the U.S. and Canada. Over-the-counter shares (BRPHF) will also convert into Nasdaq-listed GLXY shares under a unified CUSIP code. Galaxy is headquartered in New York, with offices across North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. Read more:Galaxy Digital proposes new voting framework to reduce Solana inflation

Abraxas Capital has withdrawn 138,511 ETH, worth $297 million, from centralized exchanges over the past two days. According to data from Lookonchain, the London-based asset management firm’s activity coincides with a sharp surge in Ethereum’s (ETH) price, which jumped over 20% in the past 24 hours to reach $2,371 before settling near $2,295. The size and timing of this withdrawal suggests a shift toward long-term custody and reduced intention to sell. Such moves are often interpreted as bullish signals, as they decrease immediate market supply and reflect confidence in further price appreciation. Abraxas Capital’s large-scale transfer is drawing attention amid a broader wave of accumulation. While the firm withdrew 61,401 ETH over two days, the total figure across multiple transactions reached 138,511 ETH, according to onchain data. You might also like:Celsius founder Alex Mashinsky sentenced for 12 years in prison for stealing $48M Ethereum futures and volume The withdrawals occurred as Ethereum saw a 20% rise in futures open interest and a 184% jump in trading volume, per Coinglass. At the same time, over $265 million in short positions were liquidated, accelerating the price move. Though ETH has gained 54% in the last month, it remains down 26% for the year. However, analysts at CryptoQuant point out that Ethereum is now at its most undervalued level relative to Bitcoin since 2019, based on the ETH/BTC MVRV ratio. Abraxas Capital’s operations highlight the increasing involvement of institutions in the Ethereum markets. Established by Fabio Frontini in 2002 with the aim of creating a top-tier asset management firm, Abraxas Capital Management has focused on digital assets since 2017, quickly rising to become a global leader in the field. You might also like:Bitcoin breaks $100k as Trump’s UK deal spurs cloud mining boom on Rich Miner

Stablecoin giant Tether has amassed a total of over 7.7 tons of physical gold to back its tokenized asset, Tether Gold. Tether revealed this via an attestation report, the first the company has issued for its digital asset Tether Gold (XAUT). Per the details, the Tether (USDT) issuer said it currently holds pure gold as reserve backing for every XAUT token in circulation.  As of the report, the company held 246,523.33 ounces of gold, totaling more than 7.7 tons.  “Each XAU₮ token is backed 1:1 by one troy ounce of physical gold, securely stored in a dedicated vault within world-class facilities in Switzerland,” the USDT issuer noted. The attestation release follows Tether’s establishment of its headquarters in El Salvador. You might also like:Strategy acquires 15,355 more Bitcoin for $1.4b, holdings top 550k BTC In a comment, Tether chief executive officer Paolo Ardoino said the tokenized gold product has gained notable traction, including significant growth in the first quarter of 2025.  Ardoino sees Tether Gold continuing to grow as demand across emerging markets rises. He also expects new exchange listings for XAUT to further boost adoption as gold shows greater resilience as a store of value. The Tether chief added: “With XAU₮, we’re offering users the ability to access the security of physical gold in a digital form—secure, easily transferable, and backed 1:1 by fully held gold reserves. It’s part of our broader commitment to building financial tools that combine the best of traditional assets with the efficiency of blockchain technology.” Despite this massive haul of gold, Tether sees Bitcoin (BTC) as “the most forward looking choice for the digital era.” The company points to itself as one of the biggest investor in BTC education resources. Tether is also an aggressive buyer of Bitcoin, and held over $8.2 billion in BTC at the end of Q1, 2025. XAUT’s market cap stood at over $770 million as of April 28, while the token’s price hovered near $3,300, mirroring the performance of gold. The token reached an all-time high of $3,423 on April 21, 2025. Read more:Tether thinks beyond USDT, ‘builds for the apocalypse’