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Bloomberg analysts have projected 75% to 90% approval chances for the key exchange-traded fund applications currently under review, but mounting delays from the SEC are pushing final decisions further into 2025. Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart have recently released their latest projections on the likelihood of approval for various ETFs currently under review by the SEC. Spot ETFs for Litecoin (LTC), Solana (SOL), and crypto Baskets/Indexes (including conversions like Grayscale’s GBTC) have the highest chances of approval in 2025—each assigned a 90% likelihood. The SEC’s favorable view of LTC and SOL as commodities, coupled with their ties to regulated futures markets, has likely contributed to these optimistic projections. All three have already had their 19b-4 forms acknowledged, with final SEC deadlines ranging from July to October this year. Source: @EricBalchunas Ripple (XRP) holds a slightly lower 85% chance of approval. The eventual outcome for XRP is still likely tied to how regulators categorize it—particularly after the CFTC’s April 21 announcement that it considers XRP a regulated asset for futures markets. Dogecoin (DOGE) and Hedera (HBAR) are each assigned an 80% chance of approval. Avalanche (AVAX), Cardano (ADA) and Polkadot (DOT) trail slightly behind with a 75% chance of approval. “Would love to hear directly from Atkins, but all have a good chance of happening,” Balchunas wrote on X. You might also like:SEC postpones Grayscale XRP ETF decision, Franklin Templeton joins applicants While approval odds are rather high for most filings, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission continues to issue delays across the crypto ETF landscape. On April 29, the SEC postponed decisions on several applications: Franklin Templeton’s spot Solana ETF, now facing a final deadline of Oct. 7, and its spot XRP ETF, with a deadline of Nov 5. Grayscale’s spot Hedera ETF and Bitwise’s Dogecoin ETF were also delayed, both now set for final rulings by Oct. 8. In addition, the SEC deferred a decision on the staking provisions tied to Fidelity’s spot Ethereum ETF, though a final deadline for that proposal has yet to be announced. On April 24, the SEC had also delayed decisions on Bitwise’s spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) ETFs, as well as Canary Capital’s Hedera ETF. The new deadlines for those filings are set for June 10 and June 11, respectively. You might also like:Balchunas: Canadian Solana ETFs to include staking, may face slow start

2025 年 2 月 17 日，Bitwise Invest 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 在 X 上表示我们低估了比特币。他列举了比特币即将被广泛采用和价值 100 万美元的原因。他挑战所有人提出反驳意见，对登月之路上的主要问题进行了简要总结。 目录2025 年“将成为分水岭的一年”潜在的陷阱 2025 年“将成为分水岭的一年” In a series of X posts Horsley claimed he has never been more optimistic about Bitcoin before and outlined several reasons why this year we are going to witness Bitcoin taking “massive leaps into the mainstream.” 2025 will be “a watershed year,” according to Horsley. This year you're going to see:1. More flows into ETFs2. More corporates buying more Bitcoin3. More nation states buying more Bitcoin4. US Wealth Management buying for clients5. 银行和金融机构推出服务帮助客户获取比特币6. 监管机构创造……— Hunter Horsley (@HHorsley) 2025 年 2 月 17 日 Horsley 指出，比特币 ETF 的增长、政府和企业大量购买比特币以及有利的加密货币法规是今年推动比特币上涨的因素。除此之外，Horsley 还概述了一些因素，例如当今地缘政治环境中对比特币的需求不断增长，以及金融机构和银行为让公众更容易接受比特币而做出的努力。最后，Bitwise 的首席执行官补充说，越来越多有信誉的人对比特币表示赞赏，这进一步提升了比特币的价值。 其中一些原因并不新鲜，每次有人说“下一轮牛市将完全不同”时，这些原因就会重现。机构投资者对比特币的兴趣、高调的支持和改进的监管，这些都预示着 2020 年加密货币将迎来反弹。然而，所有这些因素今天的影响规模却是另一回事。 For instance, many Wall Street veterans went from firm disapproval of Bitcoin to advocacy of digital currencies in recent years. Today, BlackRock manages the biggest bag of bitcoins in the world. In October 2017, BlackRock CEO called Bitcoin an “index of money laundering.”  In 2018, Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett called Bitcoin a “rat poison” while the company co-chair Charlie Munger compared Bitcoin trading to selling turds. Buffett continued to dismiss crypto in the following years. However, in 2021 Berkshire Hathaway invested in Brazilian Nu Bank, a digital bank working with cryptocurrency. These are only two of many examples of how big institutional investors embraced Bitcoin in the 2020s, paving the way for an unprecedented Bitcoin boom. As for the new trends unseen during the 2017 and 2021 rallies, 2025 has a lot to offer. Crypto ETFs have already helped to elevate the support level of the BTC price in early 2024, attracting new big players to the crypto market.  The current level of demand for Bitcoin from entire countries to certain jurisdictions and corporations draws comparisons to the arms race or space race of the past. For instance, there are 20 Bitcoin reserve bills proposed in 18 states of the USA. If passed, they may end up in states purchasing nearly 250,000 BTC. As for the geopolitical side of things, Russia doubling down on Bitcoin as a means to dodge Western sanctions and facilitate overseas trade may be a vivid example of how the global outlook opens gates to crypto. We saw it before when the spring of 2020 proved that people see crypto as a haven in periods of global shakeups. These days the world is hardly more stable than in 2020. You might also like:报道称，乌克兰承诺对俄罗斯在对外贸易中使用比特币实施制裁 各类参与者对比特币的需求在 2024 年和 2025 年增长尤为迅速，而 2024 年的减半在新牛市开始时就削减了供应量。 潜在的陷阱 Horsley 不仅给出了看涨预测背后的原因，还敦促他的订阅者说出他们认为哪些因素可能会阻碍比特币达到 1,000,000 美元。这有效地创建了一个不错的主题，列举了与比特币的未来和现状相关的所有主要问题。 目前，比特币尚未被广泛采用并达到 100 万美元的最佳论据是什么？I see more and more evidence of why it will, and less and less of why it won't.— Hunter Horsley (@HHorsley) February 17, 2025 One of the disturbing concerns is associated with quantum computers. Their computational power may potentially turn out to be high enough to mess with the Bitcoin network. The question of whether quantum computers will effectively end Bitcoin as we know it today still has no answer, and it’s hardly good news. One of the commenters didn’t point out quantum computers but just noted that future technologies, in general, may make Bitcoin irrelevant. Quantum computing breaks ECDSA sooner than we think and Bitcoin becomes worthless.— Ben Sigman (@bensig) February 17, 2025 While quantum computers are a potential threat, another mentioned problem on the way to the moon is scalability. An X user going by the @dotkrueger moniker named the inability of Bitcoin to scale “the best argument” against Bitcoin reaching one million soon. However, he added that wrapped Bitcoin may be considered as a solution to this issue. Horsley agreed, adding that Bitcoin ETFs are another remedy to the scalability problem. Great point. It can be wrapped to interoperate with all sorts of systems. In a way, the ETFs are a wrapper that abstract custody / trading, and port into traditional financial accounts.— Hunter Horsley (@HHorsley) February 17, 2025 Other commenters cited such concerns as a lack of use cases, people’s reluctance to use Bitcoin as a currency, and alleged dropping levels of decentralization. One of the commenters showcased a bit of wit by saying that if Trump and Musk make the dollar deflationary, the demand for Bitcoin will go down.  Trump and Elon fix the fiat system and the dollar goes deflationary… Yep, that's the best I've got.— Ed Juline (@ejuline) February 17, 2025 Horsley is not the only expert saying that Bitcoin is going to go much further than we expect. Brian Armstrong, Robert Kiyosaki, and Daniel Roberts, to name a few, express similar views. The reasoning may vary, but all of them expect exponential growth in Bitcoin prices. You might also like:IREN CEO: Bitcoin will beat gold in terms of market cap by 2030, reaching a $1,000,000 price

U.S. stocks closed higher Thursday, driven by strong gains in megacap tech companies as investors parsed mixed signals on global trade policy from the White House and Beijing. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.74%, while the S&P 500 added 2.03%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged behind but still gained 1.23%, held back by a 6% drop in IBM shares after the company cited lost government contracts due to budget cuts. Shares of Nvidia, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, and Microsoft all rose, lifting the broader market and pushing the tech sector higher for a third consecutive day. You might also like:$7.25b in Bitcoin options set to expire, market poised for big move China talks continue  The rally came despite China’s commerce ministry denying any current trade talks with the U.S. and demanding the removal of all existing tariffs.  Meanwhile, President Trump appeared to soften his tone, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinting at a potential agreement with South Korea next week. Baird analyst Ross Mayfield expressed skepticism about the sustainability of the rally. “China was pretty explicit there are no negotiations ongoing,” he told CNBC. “The market may still be reacting to signals that the administration wants a deal.” Despite the optimism, investors remain cautious. The S&P 500 is still down 3.5% since Trump’s April 2 tariff announcement, while the Dow has declined 5.3% and the Nasdaq 2.8% over the same period. Looking ahead, markets are awaiting earnings from Alphabet, Google and Intel. While Alphabet is not expected to show immediate effects from trade tensions, analysts will be watching for any signs of future tariff-related impacts. Intel’s results will mark the debut of new CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s leadership. Bitcoin (BTC) traded in the mid-$93,000 range for most of the day. You might also like:New $3.6b Bitcoin giant Twenty One Capital takes aim at Saylor’s Strategy

尽管 Terra Luna Classic 网络实现了关键的销毁里程碑，但其价格仍继续大幅下跌。 据 LUNCMetrics 称，本周网络销毁量突破 4000 亿大关。迄今为止，已有超过 4006 亿个 LUNC 代币被销毁，而且这一趋势还在持续。 仅在过去七天，就有 14.5 亿枚代币被销毁，剩下 6.5 万亿枚代币仍在流通。Terraform Labs 于 2024 年申请破产保护，仍然是代币销毁的最大贡献者，根据与其破产程序相关的美国法院命令，该公司已销毁了超过 2590 亿枚代币。 币安已销毁了超过 7000 万个代币，而 DFLUNC、LunaticsToken 和 MEXC 是接下来的主要贡献者。从理论上讲，销毁会减少加密货币的流通量，从而通过使剩余代币变得更稀有来提高其价格。 你可能还喜欢：随着 Terra Classic 销毁和质押加速，LUNC 是否会恢复？ 🤔这是什么意思？让我们来一探究竟👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽最近，大量 Terra Classic (LUNC) 转账涌入 Cryptex，每笔转账超过 10 亿个代币……pic.twitter.com/hLKqZT362lð Terra Classic ð Validator by Lunanauts (@Lunanauts_Lunc) 2025 年 1 月 28 日 Terra Luna Classic 是在 2022 年原始 Terra 生态系统崩溃后诞生的。尽管举步维艰，但它仍然是加密货币行业的重要参与者，市值超过 4.5 亿美元。 LUNC价格技术分析 LUNC 价格走势图 |来源：crypto.news 日线图显示，Terra Luna Classic 在 12 月达到峰值 0.0001793 美元，随后暴跌 57% 以上至 0.000076 美元。该代币已跌破自 2024 年 8 月以来最低水平的上升趋势线。 Terra Classic 的 50 天和 100 天指数移动平均线也出现了看跌交叉。它还形成了头肩形态，而相对强弱指数和 MACD 指标等震荡指标则持续下跌。 考虑到这些因素，LUNC 价格可能会继续下跌，下一个关键目标是 0.000050 美元，这是 2024 年的最低点。如果价格突破上升趋势线，这种看跌前景将失效。 你可能还喜欢：

Ethereum has dropped about 20% over the past 24 hours, falling below $1,500 for the first time since March 2023.  Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $1,476 at the time of press, having recorded a 24-hour high of $1799. The broader selloff appears tied to macroeconomic tensions as Donald Trump’s sweeping new tariffs put pressure on the crypto market. The market has seen widespread losses as a result of the steep ETH price decline.  根据 Coinglass 的数据，过去 24 小时内，价值超过 4 亿美元的以太坊头寸被清算。其中大部分是多头交易，损失约 3.41 亿美元。随着交易员退出头寸，以太坊期货的未平仓合约下降了 15%。 一位主要投资者受到的影响尤其严重。根据 Lookonchain 4 月 7 日在 X 上发布的帖子，一位在去中心化金融平台 Sky（前身为 Maker）上借了大笔贷款的鲸鱼损失了 67,570 ETH，价值超过 1 亿美元。这笔贷款由 ETH 支持，当价格下跌时，系统会自动出售抵押品来偿还债务。 随着 ETH 暴跌，这位鲸鱼在 #Maker 上持有的 67,570 ETH（1.06 亿美元）被清算！https://t.co/kXSkKh1H0P pic.twitter.com/IDjzbQ8P3z— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) 2025 年 4 月 7 日 你可能还喜欢：Bitcoin crashes below $75k as circuit breaker events hit Asian and European markets Aside from the most recent selloff, Ethereum has had a rough few months. It closed the first quarter of the year 45% down, losing about $170 billion in value. This made Q1 2025 Ethereum’s third-worst quarter since 2016. Despite leading in DEX trading volume in March, the network’s fee income dropped sharply, from $142 million in January to just $21 million in March, as per DefiLlama data. Transaction fees were reduced by the March 2024 EIP-1559, also known as the Dencun upgrade, which helped to lower fees. However, Ethereum became inflationary once more. One important deflationary indicator, the burn rate of ETH, has fallen to its lowest level since August 2021. Analysts seem to be approaching ETH with greater caution following a largely optimistic outlook in 2024. In March, Standard Chartered analysts lowered their year-end Ethereum price target from $10,000 to $4,000 due to the growing competition with Ethereum layer-2 solutions.  These rollups continue to draw users away from the main chain by offering quicker speeds and cheaper fees. Even though the upcoming Pectra upgrade will strengthen the network’s fundamentals, the ongoing macroeconomic pressure is still expected to have an impact on Ethereum’s price. 阅读更多：“不要与事实作斗争”：南森呼吁在特朗普关税和市场恐慌中保持谨慎