尽管受到美国证券交易委员会案件结束等引人注目的新闻报道的推动,XRP 价格今年还是失去了动力。
瑞波币(XRP)周五交易价为 2 美元,较今年最高点下跌 41%,市值从 1900 亿美元跌至 1180 亿美元。
尽管如此,XRP 超越以太坊 (ETH) 的可能性仍然在不断上升,后者的价格已暴跌逾 61%。正如我们预测的那样,以太币今年跌破 1,000 美元的可能性越来越大。
今年的价格走势已将两者的市值差距缩小至仅 450 亿美元。以下是一些可能帮助 XRP 在估值方面超越以太坊的重大催化剂。
推动XRP上涨的第一个主要催化剂是XRP账本网络,这是一个去中心化的开源平台,旨在实现快速、低成本的交易。它拥有比以太坊更快的速度和更低的费用。
两个潜在的催化剂可能会推动 XRP 账本网络的发展。首先,Ripple Labs 收购了 Hidden Road 本周,Hidden Road 达成了一项价值 12.5 亿美元的交易。此次收购意义重大,因为 Hidden Road 的日交易量超过 100 亿美元。
As a result, Ripple Labs will likely migrate this payment infrastructure onto the XRP Ledger. Such a move would make it one of the most active networks in the crypto industry.
此外,布拉德·加林豪斯 已经阐述了他的愿景:Ripple 将挑战 SWIFT——每年处理超过 150 万亿美元的全球支付网络。鉴于 SEC 的调查已经结束,这一颠覆性举措或许更加可行。
Garlinghouse 认为,Ripple 的技术比 SWIFT 更快、更经济。成功实施后,XRP 账本的活跃度将有所提升,并支持其价格的长期增长。
随着以太坊的核心网络面临停滞和对竞争的第二层解决方案的日益依赖,这些发展正在展开。
Another potential catalyst is a possible XRP ETF approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission. On Polymarket, the odds of approval have climbed to 76%, suggesting strong market expectations.
Such approval could drive new demand from institutional investors. JPMorgan analysts project these ETFs could bring in $8 billion in inflows during the first year, which would likely boost XRPâs price.
相比之下,自 9 月份以来,所有现货以太坊 ETF 的总流入量仅为 26 亿美元,而且近期的流出量一直在增加。
以太坊价格在形成三重顶和死亡交叉形态后技术面疲软,预示着进一步下行。
XRP, in contrast, has technical support that signals a possible rebound. On the weekly chart, it has pulled back and retested the $2 level, which marks the upper edge of a cup and handle pattern. This formation is generally considered a bullish continuation signal.
XRP has also held above its 50-week and 100-week moving averages. If momentum continues, it could retest the year-to-date high of $3.4, followed by a potential move to $3.70, the target of the cup and handle pattern, and eventually reach $5 over time.