2025-04-08 21:32:43
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受特朗普关税和世界秩序变化影响的三大加密货币

受特朗普关税和世界秩序变化影响的三大加密货币

美国首位比特币总统正面临加密货币市场崩盘。加密货币支持者和公司为特朗普的竞选活动提供资金,希望美国能出台支持加密货币的法规和政策。虽然稳定币法案和战略比特币储备取得了初步进展,但特朗普在解放日宣布的关税政策正在改变世界秩序。

比特币(BTC)和山寨币与全球市场上的货币和股票一起崩盘,失去了“数字黄金”的优势。虽然交易员可能将比特币和加密货币视为对冲全球市场崩盘的工具,但特朗普的关税已经为所有资产创造了公平的机会。

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美国总统的加密货币关税抹去了比特币的涨幅

US President Donald Trump faced several lawsuits in 2024, the first crypto President now has a net worth of $5.1 billion, according to the 2025 Forbes Billionaire List. Trump has managed to turn around his legal troubles and a $454 million fraud judgment, crash global markets and erase Bitcoin gains in less than 100 days of his term at the Oval Office.  

Crypto proponents funded Political Action Committees to back the first pro-crypto President less than six months ago. Bitcoin holders and traders are now faced with pain as BTC faces one round after another of a flashcrash. BTC slipped to a new cycle low of $74,500 on Monday. 

Bitcoin made a swift recovery and BTC is consolidating under the key $80,000 level on Tuesday. 


Bitcoin
BTC/USDT 1-day price chart | Source: Crypto.news

Top 3 tokens to navigate the crypto market crash

周一的加密货币崩盘导致近 3000 亿美元的市值蒸发,但三类代币保持稳定。流动性质押衍生品金融类别代币、LSDFi、顶级支付解决方案代币和 Bittensor 生态系统代币保持了上周的涨幅。

CoinGecko 的数据显示,这三个类别中排名前列的代币分别是 Pendle (PENDLE)、Telcoin (TEL) 和 Bittensor (TAO)。

PENDLE 是 Pendle Finance 生态系统的原生代币。PENDLE 持有者可以使用该代币进行激励和治理。为平台提供流动性的用户将获得一定比例的交易费奖励和返利。

Telcoin 支持移动支付解决方案,而 Bittensor 的 TAO 是生态系统的一部分,为链上构建的 AI 协议子网提供支持。

自 3 月中旬以来,PENDLE 价格形成了更高的高点和更高的低点。该代币可能再上涨 18%,并测试 3.377 美元的阻力位。RSI 读数为 51,高于中性水平,MACD 在中性线上方闪烁绿色直方图条,支持该代币的看涨论点。


Pendle
PENDLE/USDT 1-day price chart | Source: Crypto.news

TEL has been consolidating under resistance at $0.005363 for nearly a week. The mobile payments token ended its downward trend and continues to trade sideways. The daily price chart shows a likelihood of gains in TEL, 18% rally to test resistance at $0.005363. 

RSI reads 38 and remains above the oversold zone at 30, MACD shows consecutively smaller red histogram bars, meaning the underlying negative momentum in TEL price trend could end soon. A reversal is likely. If TEL suffers a crash, it could find support at $0.003444. 


Telcoin
TEL/USDT 1 天价格图表 | 来源:Crypto.news

在三月的最后七天和四月,TAO 一直在盘整,受阻于 284 美元的阻力位。TAO 的动量指标、RSI 和 MACD 显示上涨潜力。RSI 呈向上倾斜趋势,读数为 39,MACD 显示绿色直方图条。

价格上涨 18% 可能推动 TAO 重新测试 245.50 美元的阻力位,回调后 TAO 可能测试 167.80 美元的支撑位,这是 Bittensor 的关键水平。


Bittensor
TAO/USDT 1 天价格图表 |来源:Crypto.news

比特币价格预测

Bitcoin has consolidated since its drop under support at $85,500. BTC continues to hover close to support at $80,000. On the daily time frame, momentum indicators signal a likelihood of decline in BTC price. 

The largest cryptocurrency could test support at $76,900, a 2.69% decline in price. A 4% increase could push BTC closer to resistance at $82,379, the first hurdle in Bitcoin’s path to $85,000. 

MACD flashes red histogram bars under the neutral line and RSI is sloping downwards and reads 38, supporting a bearish thesis. 


Bitcoin
BTC/USDT 1 天价格图表 | 来源:Crypto.news

山寨币季节即将来临?

山寨币季节指数是一个用于跟踪是否进入山寨币季节的指标,山寨币季节是指在 90 天的时间范围内,75% 的前 50 种山寨币的表现优于比特币的时期,该指数在 3 月 65 日读至 65。由于交易员们正在消化特朗普关税公告的进展及其贸易伙伴的报复措施,该指标已于周二降至 33。

As tariff wars brew, Bitcoin attempts to regain investor confidence as a hedge against uncertainty and maintains its dominance, pushing an “altcoin season,” further away. Typically, capital rotation from Bitcoin to altcoins fuels gains in tokens every cycle. Traders may have to wait longer for the phenomenon to occur in this market cycle. 


Altcoin
Altcoin Month Index | Source: Blockchaincenter

Expert commentary

Dan Greer, CEO of DeFi App told Crypto.news that he sees a bounce coming in Bitcoin. Greer said:

“Bitcoin’s drop today is part of a broader risk-off move. When macro stress hits, everything sells off. But unlike equities, Bitcoin isn’t tethered to earnings or central bank policy. Historically, it’s bounced back stronger from macro shocks, especially when trust in traditional systems is shaken. What we’re seeing isn’t a failure of crypto but a flight to liquidity.”

Token Metrics 首席执行官 Ian Balina 认为,加密货币的崩盘是该计划的一部分。Balina 告诉 Crypto.news:

“由于特朗普的关税战持续不断,市场一直非常不稳定。从股票到加密货币的所有风险资产都失去了流动性。”

有猜测称美联储正在安排紧急会议,特朗普表示将暂时停止征收关税,欧盟表示愿意就关税进行谈判。随着我们越来越接近解决国家债务问题,所有这些波动似乎都在按照特朗普政府的计划进行。”

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