加密货币市场趋势：加密货币市场的现状

Pi Network 开发人员正在为备受期待的主网发布做准备，主网发布预计将于 3 月进行。 此次主网发布将允许先驱者将他们积累的代币货币化，并允许开发者向目标受众展示他们的应用。 此次发布将发生在开发人员推出网络七年多前，该网络允许先驱者在智能手机上挖掘代币。 关于主网启动的很多信息尚未透露，包括日期和价格。据推测，Pi 币的价格将以 3.14 美元（π 值）开始交易。以下是主网启动后 Pi 网络价格可能暴跌的三个原因。 Pi Network 的价格可能因报复性抛售而下跌 主网启动后 Pi 币价格可能暴跌的第一个主要原因是报复性抛售。这种情况是多年来一直在挖矿的先驱者决定出售所有代币。 这是因为这些先驱者已经等待了很长时间才启动主网。他们错过了 2021 年和过去三年的加密货币价格飙升。 Pi Network 的开发人员也因未能按时完成关键任务而感到失望。例如，他们将“了解您的客户”验证 (KYC) 从去年 11 月 31 日推迟到 2 月 28 日。 你可能还喜欢：随着 ETF 批准几率上升，LTC 上涨逾 7% 空投后，点击赚取代币崩溃 其他代币如 DOGS 和 Notcoin 也已下跌。这值得注意，因为 Pi Network 是一个点击赚钱平台，用户通过点击应用程序上的按钮即可积累代币。唯一的区别是 Pi 创建了自己的区块链和生态系统，包括浏览器和 Fireside Forum。 空投后，点击赚取代币崩溃 | 资料来源：IntoTheBlock 由于许多积累了代币的用户将其出售并兑换成法定货币，这些代币价格暴跌。 空投后崩盘的不仅仅是点击赚取代币。最近空投的代币，如 Berachain、Wormhole 和 zkSync，在代币发布后都大幅下跌。 因此，许多 Pi Network 先驱者会希望尽早出售，以避免大多数 tap-to-earn 持有者所犯的错误。 季节性是一个因素 每季度比特币的季节性 | 资料来源：CoinGlass 此外，Pi Network 主网的发布可能会在本季度的最后几天进行。从历史上看，第三季度通常是加密货币表现第二糟糕的时期，因为它恰逢夏季。CoinGlass 数据显示，第二季度比特币的平均回报率为 26%，其次是第二季度的 6%。 因此，如果季节性因素起作用，Pi 币价格可能会下跌。当加密货币牛市来临时，新推出的空投会表现良好。 你可能还喜欢：超流动性价格预测：HYPE 代币将涨到多高？

2024 年，模因币成为加密货币领域交易量最大、讨论最多的领域之一。批评者认为，模因币给该行业带来了不良形象。其他人则享受赌博的刺激，有时还能获得令人难以置信的回报。如果美国政府介入监管这个备受争议的行业，结果会怎样？ 当加密货币行业获得“狂野西部”的绰号时，模因币就是罪魁祸首。每天都有数千个新代币通过 Pump.Fun 等平台创建。投资者——包括散户交易员、加密货币业内人士、影响者，有时还有机构投资者——都希望获得意想不到的大奖。 Meme 币的反对者还指责该领域分散了人们对加密货币领域更高质量项目的注意力。例如，特朗普就职典礼前推出的官方代币 (TRUMP) 就体现了这一趋势。 加密货币研究员安吉拉·沃尔奇 (Angela Walch) 告诉《时代》杂志：“加密货币行业让某个人掌权，而这个人的第一件事就是强调并利用加密货币中的欺诈机会。”“这真是太尴尬了。” 模因币与政治的结合并非美国独有。在阿根廷，总统哈维尔·米莱 (Javier Milei) 大力推广天秤座 (Libra) 代币，其价值一度上涨至 4.50 美元，随后暴跌。 正如 Lyn Alden Investment Strategy 创始人 Lyn Alden 在 1 月份所说的那样：“同样的看跌 [传统金融] 账户会因为大多不相关的 ICO、DeFi 和 NFT 而对比特币不屑一顾，现在则会因为模因币而对比特币不屑一顾。” 自 2017 年关注这个领域以来，我看到了很多相同的模式。同样的看跌传统金融账户，曾经因为大多不相关的 ICO、DeFi 和 NFT 而对比特币不屑一顾，现在又会因为模因币而对比特币不屑一顾。而他们只需购买它就能超越自己的投资组合。— Lyn Alden (@LynAldenContact) 2025 年 1 月 20 日 民主党人发声 2月27日，模因币领域发生了两件大事。首先，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）表示，证券监管将不再适用于模因币。 其次，民主党提出的 MEME 法案旨在阻止美国官员发行自己的 meme 币，就像特朗普在就职典礼前所做的那样。这些事件是否相互矛盾，meme 币是否如此成问题？让我们来分析一下。 特朗普官方代币的发布引发了争议。一些人认为这是当时的当选总统发出的大胆信号，表明他已准备好拥抱加密货币。然而，考虑到价格在短短几天内下跌，加密货币社区的许多人对此举表示嘘声，认为这是赤裸裸的“骗局”。 The New York Times names $2 billion collectively lost by over 800,000 people who invested in the Trump coin. 另一个重要的批评点是，特朗普官方代币可能会让特朗普中饱私囊。外国政客可以通过大量购买特朗普代币毫不费力地贿赂他（特朗普签署了一项行政命令，冻结《反海外腐败法》的执行）。 多位民主党代表都在发声。加州民主党众议员 Sam Liccardo 提出了一项旨在阻止美国官员创建代币的法案。Liccardo 强调，特朗普的 meme 代币“引发了人们对透明度、内幕交易和不正当外国影响的担忧”。 哇！特朗普在政治舞台上被人嘲笑为“$特朗普”！！！pic.twitter.com/4gbRiMOtwD— MMCrypto (@MMCrypto) 2025 年 2 月 28 日 The bill, which is going to be named Modern Emoluments and Malfeasance Enforcement, or MEME Act, exists now only as a draft. The act is set to block the POTUS, Congress members, and other top officials and members of their families from launching cryptocurrencies. More than that, the bill will block them from issuing or sponsoring both securities and commodities. The profits generated by Trump via the Official Trump token must be disgorged. Although Liccardo doesn’t think that the Republican-controlled House of Representatives will support the bill now, he believes it can happen later when “the cult of Trump” will start to degrade and more Republicans will turn against him. The same week, it became known that the Trump family is going to create a branded metaverse that will include the NFT marketplace. 你可能还喜欢：特朗普推动数字资产发展，TRUMP Metaverse 和 NFT 平台应运而生 Gensler 的 SEC 对 meme 币的态度是否太宽松了？ 拜登时代加密政策的批评者们都认为，加里·根斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 领导的 SEC 在追捕 Ripple 和 Coinbase 等合法加密品牌时故意忽视了有害的模因币。 这一理论表明，政府机构没有追逐蓬勃发展的模因币市场，因为它成为了让人们反对加密货币本身的恶魔。人们投资模因币并亏损。这为 SEC 创造了有利的背景，并成为压制合法加密项目的好借口。 Is The SEC to Blame For the Rise of Meme Coins? 🤔Former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo shares his thoughts on the rise of Meme coins. He highlights that under Gary Gensler's tenure he attacked good projects which forced the market towards meme coins.Watch the full interview… https://t.co/mNTR9LWfjg pic.twitter.com/QKL5gJzBbn— Tony Edward (Thinking Crypto Podcast) (@ThinkingCrypto1) February 16, 2025 You might also like:离职的 Gary Gensler：加密货币“充斥着不良行为者” SEC 未参与，但警告存在波动性 尽管 Gensler 时代的 SEC 因不断将加密货币等同于未注册证券并实际上将其取缔而受到批评，但当超过 20 亿美元从 810,000 个持有特朗普官方货币的钱包中被挪用时，对加密货币友好的 Hester Peirce 时代的 SEC 却拒绝干预。 皮尔斯表示，美国证券交易委员会不负责处理模因币，因为它们不属于证券类别。 2 月 27 日，美国证券交易委员会澄清了其立场，裁定 meme 币不是证券，更像是收藏品。因此，它不受美国证券交易委员会监管，发行 meme 币的人也不必将其注册为证券。 The statement warns about the significant market price volatility of meme coins, noting that this disclaimer is usually present in the descriptions of meme coins. This ruling gives the green light to create even more meme coins in the future. Although the new SEC continues to stay away from regulating the meme coin space, there are signs of crisis in the sector. One of the main hubs of the 2024 meme coin revolution was Pump.Fun, a Solana-based launchpad that acts an Imgflip (a platform known for creating memes and GIFs) for crypto.  The tokens created on Pump.Fun are down 80%. Some attribute this decline to the controversial Libra coin downfall. However, the tariff war affecting the BTC price may be another mighty factor.  Meme coins are often compared to events like an ICO boom or an NFT boom, meaning that the dust will settle and the market will be recalibrated. Vitalik Buterin 表示，ICO 时代的弊端已通过 DeFi 解决方案得到解决。模因币市场也可以成熟。 这里也许与杂草有相似之处。十年前，对许多人来说，大麻代表着自由，代表着对否认我们身体自主权的僵化旧秩序的反抗。后来，大麻合法化，并成为“官方”的。那天，我记得我对大麻的个人兴趣……— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) 2025 年 1 月 23 日 Read more:Cardano, Dogecoin, Sui struggle to recover after market crash, RBLK sparks investor frenzy

Traders expect XRP’s price to go higher, leading to more than a 4% increase as many are buying options that profit if the price stays above a certain level in March. XRP (XRP) climbed 4% to $2.41 on Friday, March 21, as options traders focused on in-the-money calls, leading open interest. According to data from Deribit, options traders “are piling into the March 28 expiry, where ITM calls are leading open interest.” $XRP is holding steady at $2.48, up 6.38% today. Options traders are piling into the March 28 expiry, where ITM calls are leading open interest.With the SEC out of the picture now, what do you think is next for XRP? pic.twitter.com/8x1cpv33vx— Deribit (@DeribitOfficial) March 20, 2025 此次上涨是在 Ripple 首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯 (Brad Garlinghouse) 宣布美国证券交易委员会将放弃针对该公司的长期诉讼的上诉之后发生的。在 X 帖子中，加林豪斯表示，美国证券交易委员会放弃诉讼的决定标志着 XRP 的一个转折点，但他指出，委员会仍需就此事进行投票，因此存在一些不确定性。 你可能还喜欢：SEC 放弃 Ripple 案后，Bitnomial 在美国推出首个 XRP 期货 自 2020 年以来，这场法律纠纷一直对 XRP 造成压力，许多交易所将该代币下架。现在，交易员似乎押注进一步上涨。尽管最初出现飙升，但仍存在一些谨慎情绪。正如 crypto.news 早些时候报道的那样，分析师指出关键支撑位在 2.2653 美元，跌破可能预示趋势逆转。不过，技术指标显示可能进一步上涨。 市场情绪也显示出喜忧参半的信号。Coinglass 的数据显示，大多数衍生品交易所的 XRP 多头/空头比率超过 1，表明看涨仓位。但融资利率已变为负值，这通常是看跌信号。 Earlier, Garlinghouse hinted at more developments ahead, mentioning the possibility of an XRP ETF by late 2025. In an interview with Bloomberg, Garlinghouse said that an XRP spot ETF approval is likely by the second half of 2025. Read more:Ripple CEO expects XRP ETFs to launch by H2 2025, XRP whale holdings surge 6.5% to $114B

Hut 8 Corp. reported a steep first-quarter loss and a nearly 58% revenue drop, as the lingering effects of last year’s Bitcoin halving and costly equipment upgrades took a toll. Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm Hut 8 Corp. posted a sharp downturn in its first-quarter financials, swinging to a significant loss as revenue plunged over 50%, Bloomberg reported. The company generated $21.8 million in revenue for the quarter, representing a year-over-year decline of nearly 58%. It also posted a net loss of $134.3 million, a stark reversal from the $250.7 million in profit recorded during the same period last year. According to CEO Asher Genoot, the decline stems from the cumulative effects of the last Bitcoin halving, which cut mining rewards in half. While the halving itself took place last April, its financial impact has only recently fully set in for mining companies, including Hut 8. As a result, reduced revenue per mined coin, coupled with increased operational downtime related to ongoing upgrades of mining hardware, have squeezed Hut 8’s margins and pushed the company deep into the red. You might also like:News Trump family joins forces with Hut 8 to launch Bitcoin mining venture Despite the current headwinds in the mining sector, Hut 8 is pushing forward with an ambitious new initiative. During the company’s latest earnings call on Thursday, Genoot reiterated that its new mining venture American Bitcoin Corp. will go public. Hut 8 announced it’s launching American Bitcoin Corp. after it has acquired a majority stake in American Data Centers Inc., a company backed by Donald Trump’s sons Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. The market responded positively to the announcement, with Hut 8 shares surging 17% on the day. Meanwhile, Hut 8 continues to develop computing infrastructure to support AI workloads, particularly at its sites in Louisiana. This move reflects a growing industry trend in which Bitcoin miners are diversifying into AI and high-performance computing to mitigate the financial strain caused by reduced block rewards following the halving. You might also like:Argo Blockchain posts $3.4m mining revenue despite dip in Bitcoin output

On April 7, crypto stocks across major Asian and European exchanges suffered steep losses, with Asian crypto stocks seeing double-digit declines. While European exchanges remain open at press time, crypto stocks there have already posted significant losses. 在日本，东京证券交易所的加密货币相关股票受到的冲击尤为严重。Metaplanet Inc.、Monex Group Inc. 和 SBI Holdings 均出现大幅下跌，股价分别下跌 20.26%、10.29% 和 11%。 香港也受到了加密货币股票下跌的影响，OSL Group 股价下跌 11.61%，Okg Technology Holdings Ltd. 股价下跌 16.56%。Grandshores Technology Group Ltd. 的跌幅最大，股价暴跌 19.54%。 上海证券交易所的跌幅略小，但仍然值得关注。中国工商银行下跌 1.89%，而中国建设银行 A 股和用友网络科技股份有限公司分别下跌 0.45% 和 9.99%。 你可能还喜欢：这就是为什么加密股票 COIN、MARA、MSTR 跑赢标准普尔 500 指数的原因 While the Asian exchanges have closed, European markets remain open, and many crypto stocks have already suffered significant intraday losses. CoinShares International Ltd. on Nasdaq Stockholm has fallen by 5.79%. SAP SE stock on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany decreased by 5.02%. Argo Blockchain PLC on the London Stock Exchange is down by 1.18%. The U.S. session is set to open under heavy selling pressure. Crypto-related equities are likely to face pressure. Premarket data suggests further weakness: Coinbase Global Inc. is down 7.82%, a steeper decline than its 5.98% drop at Friday’s close. Even Strategy—which gained 4.01% on Friday—is showing a sharp premarket drop of 10.02%. 鉴于亚洲和欧洲主要交易所的加密货币股票大幅下跌，美国加密货币股票的前景似乎不容乐观。即使是周五逆势上涨的 Strategy，在盘前交易中也大幅下跌了 10.02%。这表明围绕加密货币股票的负面情绪可能会持续下去，随着美国开盘，加密货币股票可能会进一步下跌。 你可能还喜欢：熔断事件冲击亚洲和欧洲市场，比特币跌破 7.5 万美元