独家：Autonomys Network 与 Talisman Wallet 整合以扩展 Web3 可访问性

美国证券交易委员会委员海丝特·皮尔斯 (Hester Peirce) 于 2 月 4 日发布了一份新文件，概述了该机构新成立的加密货币工作组的主要目标。 在这篇题为《旅程开始》的论文中，皮尔斯承认，美国证券交易委员会一直在努力确定其对加密货币的态度。在过去十年中，监管不确定性、政策不一致和法律模糊性塑造了加密货币的格局。 然而，她认为，她所领导的加密货币工作组的启动是一个机会，可以推动建立一个平衡创新和投资者保护的框架。 “我们花了很长时间才陷入这种困境，我们也需要一些时间才能摆脱它。委员会以各种形式与加密货币行业合作了十多年，”她写道。 工作组的主要目标 皮尔斯提倡一种更加结构化的方法，并概述了几个主要目标： 明确加密资产的安全状况 制定加密货币借贷和质押的监管规定 改进加密货币交易所交易产品 加强代币化证券的清算和结算 鼓励国际合作 确定 SEC 管辖范围之外的区域

如果美国证券交易委员会批准 ETF，XRP 价格预测将上涨 1,500%。Ripple 最终能否达到 27 美元并突破阻力位？ 目录Ripple 的疯狂之旅XRP ETF 终于来了吗？XRP 的成败时刻即将来临XRP price prediction: Could history repeat itself? Ripple’s wild ride Ripple (XRP) has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent months, capturing the market’s attention with large price swings and major regulatory developments. On Jan. 16, the token surged to a multi-year high of $3.39, fueled by strong market sentiment. However, the rally was short-lived. As of Feb. 17, XRP has pulled back to $2.68, marking a 21% decline from its January peak. It remains approximately 31% below its all-time high of $3.89, which was reached in January 2018. Despite this pullback, XRP remains one of the top-performing assets in the top 100, delivering an impressive 145% return over the past 90 days. This outpaces heavyweights like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), both of which have lost value during the same period. Amid these fluctuations, broader market forces are also at play. The election of President Donald Trump introduced a more crypto-friendly atmosphere in the U.S., with the Trump administration’s positive stance on digital assets boosting investor confidence. This, in turn, has contributed to the upward trajectory of crypto assets, including XRP. Additionally, the resignation of SEC Chair Gary Gensler has further fueled optimism, as market participants anticipate a more accommodating regulatory environment under the new SEC leadership of acting chair Mark Uyeda. With a mix of strong price action, regulatory intrigue, and shifting political winds, what can we expect from XRP? Let’s explore this further in our Ripple price prediction. Is the XRP ETF finally coming? Amid ongoing volatility and key developments, XRP has remained in the spotlight. A major turning point came on Feb. 13, when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission formally acknowledged a filing from the New York Stock Exchange and Grayscale Investments for a spot XRP exchange-traded fund. The proposal outlines a plan to convert Grayscale’s existing $16.1 million XRP Trust into a fully tradable ETF, with Coinbase Custody Trust Company acting as the custodian and BNY Mellon handling administrative duties. Update: @NYSE & @Grayscale have filed to convert Grayscale's XRP trust into an ETF. The trust currently has ~$16 mln in assets. pic.twitter.com/QAufZoKDkA— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) January 30, 2025 SEC 的承认意味着审查过程已经正式开始，为 240 天内可能的批准或拒绝奠定了基础。 第一个关键截止日期定于 3 月中旬，标志着为期 45 天的审查期的开始。此后，SEC 可能会做出决定或延长审查期限，预计最终决定将于 2025 年 10 月中旬做出。 但 Grayscale 并不是唯一一家推动 XRP ETF 的公司。芝加哥期权交易所也为 Bitwise 的 XRP ETF 提交了 19b-4 申请，其他公司也在争相申请批准。与试图将现有信托转换为 ETF 的 Grayscale 不同，Bitwise 正在推出一只全新的基金。 🚨新消息：@CBOE 刚刚代表@BitwiseInvest 和@CanaryFunds 为他们的 $XRP ETF 提交了 19b-4s。19b-4 表格是发行人提交 S-1 表格后 ETF 审批流程的下一步。19b-4 表格基本上是请求 @SECGov 允许他们上市和交易……pic.twitter.com/vMkoTk6G3P— Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) February 6, 2025 Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, recently discussed the challenges and progress of XRP ETF applications. He noted that while previous filings have seen starts and stops, with some firms withdrawing their applications, the fact that multiple issuers are now refiling suggests that the SEC is at least open to considering these ETFs. Hougan remains cautiously optimistic, pointing out that while approval could take time, the SEC is becoming more willing to engage in discussions about these products.  He also highlighted a key difference between XRP and other commodity-based ETFs like Bitcoin and gold — those assets had regulated futures markets before their ETFs were approved, whereas XRP does not.  Although a futures market is not mandatory for XRP ETFs, it would play a key role in the approval process. What makes these filings particularly striking is the ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC. In December 2020, the SEC sued Ripple, arguing that XRP had been sold as an unregistered security. Ripple scored a partial victory in August 2023 when a federal judge ruled that XRP is not a security when traded on secondary markets. However, regulatory uncertainty still persists, making the ETF approval process for XRP more complex compared to spot Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum ETFs. Nate Geraci, president of the ETF Store, pointed out the irony — while the SEC remains in litigation with Ripple, it is simultaneously reviewing an ETF that would hold XRP. Geraci even called it an “enormous message,” suggesting that the SEC’s stance on XRP might be shifting. Shocked more people aren’t talking about SEC accepting XRP ETF filing…They have open litigation w/ Ripple.同时，他们只是承认有争议的ETF持有资产的申请（他们很容易就可以拒绝这份申请）。在我看来，这是一个巨大的信息。— Nate Geraci (@NateGeraci) 2025 年 2 月 14 日 更令人关注的是，彭博 ETF 分析师 James Seyffart 和 Eric Balchunas 估计，到 2025 年底 XRP ETF 获得批准的可能性为 65%。 我们的官方山寨币 ETF 批准概率已经出炉。莱特币以 90% 的概率领先，然后是 Doge，其次是 Solana 和 XRP。我们只针对 33 Act $IBIT 类文件进行审核。但肯定也能看到期货或开曼子公司类型 40 Act 的东西通过。https://t.co/JSaNnifjbu— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) February 10, 2025 XRP’s make-or-break moment looms XRP is at a make-or-break moment, approaching a resistance level that has defined its fate for years.  Over the past two months, XRP has tested the $3.15 to $3.50 range, a zone that has consistently determined whether XRP breaks into a major rally or gets stuck in consolidation. On Jan. 16, XRP reached a multi-year high of $3.39, but that attempt to push higher ultimately failed. Then, on Feb. 3, XRP plunged 43% to $1.94 as global markets were shaken by Trump’s tariff threats, causing a widespread selloff that led to one of the worst declines in crypto history. Despite the chaos, XRP has since rebounded and is once again nearing the same resistance level, setting the stage for another potential breakout. 除了短期波动之外，更重要的事情正在发生。XRP 自 2018 年以来形成的圆底形态即将完成，这一结构耗时近七年才形成。 XRP 价格图表 | 来源：crypto.news 如果 XRP 达到历史最高价 3.89 美元，该模式将正式完成，标志着长期积累阶段的结束。届时，XRP 将进入价格发现阶段，这意味着将不再有历史阻力位来阻碍它。 现在的问题是，谁将提供最后的推动力。更广泛的市场条件尚未完全支持比特币，因为比特币尚未创下历史新高，流动性仍然集中在少数资产上。 最大的潜在催化剂之一是 ETF 批准。如果 SEC 批准 XRP ETF，机构需求可能会激增，凭借巨大的交易量推动价格突破阻力位。 Another key factor could be strategic adoption — if XRP is included in a financial system reserve or gains a major institutional use case, the surge in demand could propel it into uncharted territory. The third wildcard is the SEC lawsuit appeal. If the appeal is dismissed, legal clarity alone could trigger a wave of buying. Now, all eyes are on whether XRP can finally push through or if history will repeat itself once again. The next attempt to clear $3.50 may prove to be the most significant in its history. XRP price prediction: Could history repeat itself? XRP’s 2017 bull run remains a key reference point, with several indicators suggesting that XRP is now mirroring the setup that led to its parabolic rise.  One of the bullish arguments comes from Egrag Crypto, which points to the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB), a technical indicator used to determine whether an asset is in a bullish or bearish phase. #XRP – Double Digits – 1500% Pump ⛽️:让我们分析一下 #XRP 发生的事情：1 英镑牛市支撑带 (BMSB)：这是我们确定我们是处于 #BullRun 还是 #BearMarket 的关键指标。目前，我们位于 BMSB 上方。我在之前提到过……pic.twitter.com/PNB4OmuCN8— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) 2025 年 2 月 6 日 “目前，我们的仓位位于 BMSB 上方，”他解释道，并指出他曾预测 XRP 将重新回到这一水平，即使当时价格为 3.40 美元。成功重新测试这一支撑位可能表明市场正在为下一步行动积蓄力量。 Egrag 将这一情况与 2017 年的情况进行了比较，当时 XRP 遵循了几乎相同的模式。他指出，当时 XRP 几乎触及 BMSB，随后在短短四周内飙升 1,500%，目标是 Fib 1.618 水平。 Fibonacci levels are widely used in technical analysis to predict price movements, and in 2017, XRP’s breakout followed this exact pattern. If history repeats itself, Egrag suggests a 1,500% surge to $27. Javon Marks takes this further, highlighting how XRP’s recent price action mirrors its 2017 breakout. Prices recently tested the all-time high as resistance, just as they did in 2017 before surging beyond it. Marks’ new second target is at $99, an astonishing 3,900% increase from current levels. $XRP to $99+🪞:The truth is, most of what we have to connect dots with on XRP is its past price performance and man oh man is this breakout and run shaping up extremely similar to 2017.Prices recently met the All Time High, using it as a resistance, just as it did in 2017… https://t.co/gjFsTxYSwG pic.twitter.com/F0wVWE8v0z— JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) February 7, 2025 Beyond Fibonacci extensions, Elliott Wave theory also points to significant potential for XRP. Dark Defender has been tracking XRP’s wave structure since July 2023, when the price was around 40 to 50 cents.  XRP had a 4th Wave on his Intermediate Cycle, which I highlighted in Dark Blue, aiming for $5.85 with the 5th Wave.另一方面，以浅蓝色突出显示的主要周期波仍瞄准 18.22 美元。（非财务建议）我从 7 月 23 日起就一直使用相同的结构……pic.twitter.com/CZXFSRyftb— Dark Defender (@DefendDark) 2025 年 2 月 3 日 根据他的分析，XRP 目前处于中期周期的第 4 波，第 5 波目标为 5.85 美元。他的主要周期波追踪长期走势，表明主要上行目标为 18.22 美元。 “我自 2023 年 7 月以来一直使用相同的结构，我们将其视为北极星，”Dark Defender 解释道，这表明 XRP 一直遵循这种模式。如果他的波浪计数保持不变，XRP 可能即将完成一个主要周期。 However, big breakouts don’t happen in isolation. XRP still faces its biggest resistance zone between $3.15 and $3.50, which requires a major catalyst to break through. For traders looking to take advantage of this setup, risk management is key. Placing stop-loss orders can help minimize losses in case of rejection, and avoiding over-leveraging is crucial, as sudden pullbacks could lead to liquidation. However, nothing in the crypto market is guaranteed. The same indicators that suggest explosive upside potential can also fail under changing market conditions. Trade wisely, manage risk, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

在经历了历史上最大规模的加密货币黑客攻击之后，Bybit 正在缓慢恢复——这在很大程度上要归功于散户投资。 加密货币交易所 Bybit 正在从加密货币史上最大规模的黑客攻击中恢复，此次攻击造成了 16 亿美元的损失。在 Bybit 委托 Block Scholes 撰写的一份研究报告中，这家分析公司概述了此次攻击的性质以及该平台随后的复苏。 黑客攻击事件发生后，Bybit 的市场份额从 2025 年 1 月的 10% 跌至仅 4%。然而，根据报告，这一数字在几周内反弹至 7%。与此同时，交易量和订单簿深度（不同价位的订单数量）迅速趋于稳定。 报告指出：“虽然此次黑客攻击导致交易量和订单簿深度出现急剧但短暂的中断——尤其是在 BTC 和 ETH 市场——但主要代币的买卖价差基本保持不变。” 尽管交易量下降，Bybit 的买卖价差（即卖方和买方之间的差价）仍然保持低位。这表明即使在事件发生后，做市商仍然保持活跃，为市场高效运行做出了贡献。 Bybit 的零售重点有助于复苏 报告还将Bybit的复苏部分归功于零售价格改善（RPI）订单的推出。这些订单仅供使用该应用程序的散户交易者使用，机构投资者或交易机器人无法访问。此举旨在为个人投资者创造公平的竞争环境。 这项功能广受欢迎。Bybit 的 3 档流动性（衡量接近市场流动性的指标）在 RPI 订单中的表现显著高于常规订单。这有助于该交易所为散户和手动交易者维持较低的价差。 2025年2月24日至4月1日，BTCUSDT现货3档流动性按订单类型、RPI和非RPI划分 | 数据来源：Bybit 报道称，RPI订单在稳定流动性方面发挥了关键作用，标志着Bybit努力夺回现货加密货币交易市场份额的第一步。 阅读更多：突发新闻：关税暂停期间比特币回升至 8.1 万美元，中国仍将面临 125% 的关税

去中心化永续合约交易平台 dYdX 更新了其近期路线图，详细介绍了以提高速度和用户体验以及推出新交易功能的改进。 根据其近期（未来两个月）路线图更新，dYdX (DYDX) 计划通过减少停机时间、陈旧数据和吞吐量限制来提高其网站在交易活动高峰期的稳定性。此外，该平台将使存款和取款流程更轻松、更快捷，使用户能够在不到一分钟的时间内访问 dYdX 链上的资金，而通常需要等待 18 分钟以上。该网站的前端界面也将进行改进，使其能够更快地加载竞争对手提供的新功能，例如仅减少限价订单、缩放订单和 TWAP 订单。最后，该平台将每两周发布一次开发和部署说明，让社区随时了解进展情况。 一旦这些更新实施完毕，dYdX 计划发布今年剩余时间的详细路线图。他们已经预先展示了长期路线图将包含的潜在发展。这些包括扩大数字资产产品（包括预发布资产和现实世界资产）、集成预言机以提供更好的价格信息、与以太坊集成、通过 Hummingbot 和 CCXT 等工具促进自动交易，以及推出奖励计划。 你可能还喜欢：dYdX 社区批准收益分享提案 目前，dYdX 主要面向需要深度流动性、算法交易支持和永续合约杠杆交易的专业交易者。然而，该平台在其路线图更新公告中表示，它希望吸引更多散户投资者。为此，该公司最近发布了一款新的精简版移动应用程序。未来，它计划与主流钱包和其他第三方应用程序集成，让更多用户可以使用 dYdX。 路线图更新紧随 dYdX Chain 近期升级至 8.0 版本之后，该升级由社区投票决定。此次升级引入了“许可密钥”，让交易者能够更好地控制自己的账户，并能够删除不活跃的市场，以保持平台的精简。 受最新路线图更新的推动，可质押并用于治理的 DYDX 代币交易价为 0.59 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 8%，24 小时交易量为 22,762,737 美元。 你可能还喜欢：dYdX Chain v8.0 升级投票已上线

Ethereum recently rejected from a key confluence zone, including the 0.618 Fibonacci level. With price back under the point of control, traders are watching closely for signs of a deeper move or a trap.Ethereum’s (ETH) price action has stalled at a technically significant region, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, drawn from the most recent pivot high to low. This area is also reinforced by daily horizontal resistance and a descending VWAP, adding to its weight as a decision zone. After several failed attempts to push higher, ETH has now begun to roll over, trading back under the point of control (POC) of the local range. Key technical points Major Resistance Cluster:The 0.618 Fibonacci aligns with daily resistance and a descending VWAP, forming a strong technical ceiling. Loss of POC:Price has fallen below the volume point of control, indicating sellers are gaining control of the short-term auction. Bearish Structure Building:Lower highs and a stalled breakout raise the probability of a move toward the next key support near $1,540. ETHUSDT Chart (4), Source: TradingView Detailed analysis After an impulsive move higher, Ethereum’s price has spent several sessions consolidating below a heavy resistance zone. The 0.618 Fibonacci level, a widely watched retracement marker, is reinforced by daily horizontal resistance and a declining VWAP drawn from the last major high. This confluence attracted notable selling pressure, and ETH has now failed multiple times to break above.What adds further caution to the current structure is the recent loss of the point of control within this region. Price has now dipped below the highest-volume node of the recent range, suggesting that the market is no longer accepting value at these levels. This often precedes range rotation or continuation in the direction of the rejection, in this case, to the downside. You might also like:Bitcoin consolidates below key resistance as lower timeframe trend develops The technical landscape also reveals a clear short-term bearish structure forming. ETH has been unable to print higher highs or maintain higher lows, increasing the probability of a broader correction. The next logical support level sits around $1,540, not only a structural level from previous sessions but also a zone with visible price inefficiencies (e.g., unfilled fair value gaps and single prints) that could act as magnets for price.This setup opens the door for a potential 10% downside move from current levels, especially if the recent swing low fails to hold. Still, traders should remain alert to the possibility of a fakeout, as Ethereum has previously shown sudden strength from similar rejection zones. What to expect in the coming price action Ethereum’s failure to break out above the 0.618 confluence zone and its rejection from the POC suggest a higher chance of rotation toward lower supports. If price breaks below the recent swing low, the $1,540 region could be the next target. However, if buyers can defend current levels and reclaim the POC, this might prove to be a local fakeout before resuming upward. For now, caution is warranted as price hovers near a decisive level. Read more:Camino partners with Lufthansa Systems and SWISS to drive innovation in the travel industry