美国财政部解除对 Tornado Cash 的制裁，允许美国人使用

PI Network may be setting up for a bullish move as key signals hint at a trend reversal. A classic divergence, strong support, and a defined trading channel are shaping the next move. PI Network’s (PI) price action is starting to show signs of a shift in market sentiment. After a period of downward or sideways movement, a bullish divergence is forming, a signal often seen ahead of reversals. With price currently holding the lower bounds of its ascending channel, technical conditions could be aligning for a move back toward key resistance. Key technical points, Bullish RSI divergence forming near channel support. Ascending triangle resistance target at $0.97. Volume remains low, requiring confirmation from buyers. PIUSDT (4H) Chart Source: TradingView One of the most notable developments is the formation of a bullish divergence on the RSI. While price recently formed a higher low, the RSI printed a lower low, a classic signal that momentum is shifting beneath the surface. This type of divergence is often interpreted as an early warning that sellers are losing control and that a bounce or trend reversal could be imminent.  Adding weight to this signal is the price’s positioning within its current trading channel. PI is holding the lower boundary of an ascending channel, a region that has historically acted as a base for rebounds. The confluence of the bullish divergence and this structural support strengthens the case for a potential upside move. You might also like:Bitcoin surges past $97k as bulls build momentum Another important factor is the ongoing decline in trading volume. While this may seem negative at first, it typically suggests that price is coiling, finding equilibrium before the next big move. In this case, the drop in volume is occurring near support, reinforcing the idea that buyers may be waiting to step in upon confirmation. The recent short-term pump in price is the first sign that the bullish divergence may be triggering, but this alone isn’t enough. What’s needed now is sustained follow-through, ideally with increasing volume, to confirm that the reversal is genuine. If this follow-through occurs, the next logical target is the ascending triangle resistance near $0.97. What to expect in the coming price action, If volume begins to increase and momentum continues, PI could see a move toward the $0.97 resistance zone. Until then, price action will likely remain inside the ascending channel, with rotational movement between key support and resistance levels. Watch for confirmation and volume before committing to a directional bias. Read more:Binance Web3 Wallet integrates Sonic blockchain, enabling airdrops

尼日利亚总统博拉·蒂努布签署了一项新法律，加强了美国证券交易委员会对加密货币的监管，并将其归类为证券。 据当地新闻媒体报道，尼日利亚总统博拉·艾哈迈德·蒂努布签署了《2024 年投资与证券法》，将加密货币归类为尼日利亚证券交易委员会监管下的证券。 新法律取代了 2007 年 ISA 法案，据报道扩大了 SEC 在监管尼日利亚资本市场（包括加密货币交易所）方面的职责。该法案还对通常与加密货币市场相关的庞氏骗局实施了更严厉的处罚。 例如，被判定犯有庞氏骗局的人可能面临 10 年或以上的监禁，并处以至少 1000 万奈拉（约 6,500 美元）的罚款。根据罪行的严重程度，总罚款可能高达 4000 万奈拉（约 26,000 美元）。 你可能还喜欢：尼日利亚再次对币安提起 815 亿美元诉讼 自 2023 年中期以来，尼日利亚精通技术的民众已将加密货币作为抵御高通胀和奈拉兑美元大幅贬值的一种方式。根据 Chainalysis 的数据，该国在 2023 年 7 月至 2024 年 6 月期间收到了价值约 590 亿美元的加密货币。 自 2023 年上任以来，总统博拉·蒂努布一直致力于财政改革，旨在增加政府收入并减少预算赤字，包括改革税收管理。推动监管使尼日利亚与拥有加密资产市场的欧盟等其他地区保持一致，这些地区都已采取行动对加密货币进行监管。 阅读更多：报告称尼日利亚将对加密货币交易征税

尽管人们对支持加密货币的政策抱有期待，但特朗普总统的就职演说中并未提及加密货币，未能满足一些行业的预期。 唐纳德·特朗普总统于 1 月 20 日就任美国第 47 任总统。 他在就职演说中强调团结、力量和公平的主题，重点关注高通胀、移民政策、边境管制、能源生产和石油等关键问题。 特朗普没有提及加密货币，这让该行业未来的监管前景变得不确定。这一遗漏与人们对加密货币友好型政府的预期形成了鲜明对比。 你可能还喜欢：特朗普家族推出双币种计划 因利益冲突和敛财招致批评 共和党议员忽略加密货币 共和党议员的一份新文件也没有提及加密货币或数字资产。 Punchbowl 新闻发布的该文件表明，加密货币不会成为新特朗普政府的当前立法重点。 此消息传出后，加密货币市场出现了一些波动——比特币（BTC）急剧下跌，一度跌至 100,430 美元。加密货币市场的大部分也紧随其后，分别下跌了 3-5%。 由于特朗普在其就职演讲中没有提到加密货币（呃），所以弱者正在出售他们的货币。同时，他的团队在活动期间购买了$btc。感谢您的参与。— Saint Pump (@Saint_Pump) 2025 年 1 月 20 日 目前，BTC交易价格已回升至104,000美元上方，反映出数字资产的不确定性和波动性持续存在。 随着新政府的上台，加密货币社区正在等待可能影响该行业未来的潜在监管行动的明确结果。 你可能还喜欢：尽管关键指标与以太坊持平，但币安币仍下跌

过去 10 年，美国联邦政府出售了约 195,000 比特币，包括与丝绸之路相关的犯罪扣押，共计获利 3.66 亿美元。 白宫人工智能和加密货币沙皇大卫·萨克斯 (David Sacks) 通过 X 表示，由于前几届政府采取的围墙花园投资策略，美国纳税人自 2013 年以来损失了 170 亿美元的比特币 (BTC) 利润。 萨克斯分享了一份由埃隆·马斯克支持的 Grok AI 生成的联邦政府比特币销售分析报告，这似乎再次暗示了唐纳德·特朗普总统领导下美国可能建立加密储备。 美国政府于 2013 年开始扣押比特币，当时 FBI 没收了 11 枚比特币，这是美国机构首次没收该资产。公开记录显示，这些比特币是从试图购买非法毒品的不法分子手中没收的。 此后，美国联邦调查局和其他执法机构已没收了约19.5万枚比特币。数据显示，美国政府在过去12年中曾11次出售比特币，截至2015年11月，在三年内四次大规模出售中，共计变现17.3万枚比特币。 你可能还喜欢：特朗普的加密战略储备只是为了充实 WLFI 和他自己的腰包的幌子吗？ 仅凭这些储备，价值就超过 150 亿美元，因为 3 月 6 日 BTC 的价格为每枚 89,800 美元。“如果政府持有比特币，那么如今其价值将超过 170 亿美元，”Sack 表示，这意味着政府持有纸质加密货币财富。纸质投资者是指早期出售资产并错过其最大价格上涨的投资者。 美国政府在公共金库中还留有 207,000 比特币，这些比特币可能会转变为国家储备或成为美国加密货币储备的基础。特朗普总统 1 月份的行政命令指示他的加密货币内阁和美国证券交易委员会等监管机构制定比特币储备立法，这增强了行业的希望。 特朗普关于在储备中混合比特币与山寨币的进一步言论，在他的加密货币支持者和科技重度硅谷支持者之间造成了分歧。 不过，特朗普可能会在 3 月 7 日举行的首届白人加密货币峰会上宣布 BTC 储备策略。由于市场波动影响现货价格，该资产在峰会前重新回到了 90,000 美元的价格水平。 过去十年，联邦政府出售了约 195,000 枚比特币，获利 3.66 亿美元。如果政府持有比特币，如今其价值将超过 170 亿美元。这就是美国纳税人因没有制定长期战略而付出的代价。— David Sacks (@davidsacks47) 2025 年 3 月 6 日 阅读更多：据报道，特朗普将在白宫加密货币峰会上宣布比特币储备战略

Has Bitcoin price prediction turned a corner, with real on-chain movement toward $175,000 — or are we skipping steps by already entertaining BlackRock’s $700,000 thesis? Table of ContentsBTC nears $98K as bullish momentum reignitesEconomy cools down, BTC heats upBitcoin’s bull case builds2025 Bitcoin price predictions: breakout or blowoff top? BTC nears $98K as bullish momentum reignites After weeks of sideways movement, Bitcoin (BTC) nearly touched $98,000 on May 2, reaching a high of $97,905. As of this writing, BTC is trading around $97,650, slightly below its peak but still holding most of its recent gains. BTC price chart | Source: crypto.news From a historical standpoint, Bitcoin has recovered more than 24% from its February low of $78,200 and more than 30% from the early April dip near $75,000. The rally places Bitcoin at its highest level in over two months and points to a potential reversal of the decline triggered by February’s macroeconomic turbulence.  Much of that weakness had stemmed from policy-related jitters, particularly after President Trump’s trade-centric statements unsettled parts of the market. One key development supporting the rebound is aggressive buying by treasury-focused companies. In the U.S., Strategy added to its Bitcoin reserves on Apr. 28 with a fresh purchase worth $1.4 billion. According to its latest press release, the firm now holds 553,555 BTC, acquired at a total cost of $37.90 billion with an average purchase price of around $68,459 per coin. With Bitcoin now trading near $97,000, Strategy’s holdings are comfortably in profit, translating to a year-to-date unrealized gain of roughly $5.8 billion. Meanwhile in Asia, Japanese firm Metaplanet is quietly building its own treasury strategy, modeled loosely on companies like Strategy. On May 2, the company issued another ¥3.6 billion in bonds, which is roughly $23 million in U.S. dollar terms. This was its 12th bond issuance, and the capital is being used to expand its Bitcoin holdings. Metaplanet has already surpassed the 5,000 BTC mark and has publicly stated that it aims to reach 10,000 BTC by the end of 2025. Amid all this, it is time to examine what is happening with BTC, how experts are interpreting this move, and where Bitcoin price prediction stands now. Economy cools down, BTC heats up The recent economic data paints a picture of deceleration rather than expansion. The ADP jobs report for April showed that only 62,000 private sector jobs were added, missing expectations of 108,000 and falling well below March’s 147,000 print, marking the weakest monthly gain since July 2024 and adding to concerns that the labor market may be cooling. Alongside the employment miss came an unexpected contraction in GDP. The first official estimate for Q1 2025 showed GDP shrinking by 0.3%, against expectations for a modest 0.2% increase. Much of this decline is tied to a sharp rise in imports early in the year, as businesses rushed to front-load inventories ahead of President Trump’s tariff implementation. Basic economics suggests that when imports rise and exports do not increase proportionally, the net effect is negative for GDP, and that is exactly what played out. The imbalance alone shaved off nearly 5% from overall growth, compounding the impact of a decline in government spending, another rare drag not seen since 2022. Meanwhile, inflation appears more persistent than forecast. The Core PCE price index, embedded within the GDP data, rose by 3.5% year-on-year, higher than the 3.1% that was expected, complicating the outlook for interest rate adjustments and potentially extending the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance. In parallel, commodity and crypto markets are showing divergent responses to these macro signals. Gold, which had rallied above $3,500 per ounce by Apr. 21 in response to the new tariffs and broader geopolitical tension, has since retraced by nearly 10%, now trading around $3,200. Bitcoin, in contrast, is gradually building momentum. At the time gold topped out, BTC was still trading around $87,000, and since then, it has gained sustainably, climbing to a two-month high. The shift in capital away from gold and into Bitcoin may not be accidental, as investors often look for alternative stores of value when traditional safe havens start to lose steam, and Bitcoin’s fixed supply and rising institutional demand appear to be supporting that role. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been a central force in this trend. Since Apr. 21, these products have recorded inflows in eight of the last nine trading days, with cumulative net additions totaling over $4.16 billion. Nearly half of these inflows came in just two days, Apr. 22 and 23, suggesting that demand is not only steady but also surging. However, with rising prices also comes the potential for selling. On-chain data from Glassnode shows that many long-term holders are now sitting on over 350% in unrealized gains. If Bitcoin continues to climb, some of these holders may decide to lock in profits, and additionally, a concentration of coins sits near current spot prices, which may serve as resistance if enough investors choose to exit at break-even points. Bitcoin’s bull case builds Crypto and financial analysts are now aligning that Bitcoin is showing strength, but whether that strength holds depends on how it behaves around specific price zones and how market participants react to growing profit margins. Robert Breedlove, a long-term Bitcoin thinker and founder of the What is Money podcast, pointed to the cost of production as a reliable foundation for identifying cycle lows. I don’t normally speculate on short-term #Bitcoin price action — but some friends of mine have provided some fascinating perspectives that I want to share.🧵 👇Bitcoin is up 25% from its April 9th low and there’s a handful of indicators that show a major bull market around the… pic.twitter.com/IIHGyDGzES— Robert ₿reedlove (@Breedlove22) May 1, 2025 Citing research from Blockware, he explained that the industry-wide average cost to mine Bitcoin has historically aligned with key bottoms. These include moments such as March 2020 and December 2018.  Bitcoin has now moved above that cost level again. When Bitcoin trades well above production cost, miners are more likely to hold rather than sell, which can reduce short-term supply pressure and create a more bullish environment. Meanwhile, PlanB, known for creating the stock-to-flow model, highlighted a different signal. He noted that Bitcoin’s current price has moved above its 2-year and 5-month realized prices. Realized price up2-year realized price up5-month realized price upBitcoin price higher than all realized pricesBull market continues🚀 pic.twitter.com/dGzWWiKdfA— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) May 1, 2025 Realized price represents the average value of all coins based on when they were last moved. When the market trades above those levels, it usually reflects strength. In his words, all realized prices are now below Bitcoin’s current level, which suggests the uptrend remains intact. Historically, this structure has only formed during active bull phases, especially when short-term holders begin to re-enter. Technical analyst Rekt Capital offered a more detailed roadmap. His view is that if Bitcoin follows the same path it did in late 2024, it may first reject around $99,000, hold support at $93,500, break through the $97,000 to $99,000 range, and only then approach the $104,500 zone. #BTCThis idea was first explored in mid-October 2024 and actually ended up playing outIt would be poetry if Bitcoin repeated history and followed through on the same path in this current Range as wellFor history to repeat, BTC would need to:• Reject from $99k• Hold… https://t.co/1kdRzg0wRg pic.twitter.com/5h0GmEgTfq— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) May 1, 2025 If that holds, the structure could support a run toward new highs. His view is about observing whether Bitcoin holds key support after testing resistance. If any of these levels fail to hold, that would signal a shift back into range-bound behavior rather than breakout territory. Tomas, a markets analyst who studies long-term patterns across risk assets, brought attention to recent price behavior in broader financial markets. 🤔 'Long lower wicks' everywhere – it looks bullish, but is it actually bullish historically?April has been a crazy and historic month in markets.We've had a huge tariff shock, followed by a gradual tariff walk back.So, we've been left with some tasty looking monthly… pic.twitter.com/HyddPd7Dgu— Tomas (@TomasOnMarkets) April 30, 2025 He focused on the S&P 500’s monthly chart, which showed a 14% lower wick in April. A long lower wick means prices dropped during the month but were quickly bought back up. He noted that while such candles often suggest bullish pressure, historical data tells a mixed story. Out of 11 similar wick formations since 1950, only 5 marked the actual low, while the rest were followed by further declines, sometimes by as much as 20%. The implication is that sharp rebounds do not guarantee that the correction is over, and they may simply indicate a short-term reset in sentiment. Taken together, the analysis shows that Bitcoin’s fundamentals are strengthening, but price structure still matters. Key support and resistance levels remain in play. 2025 Bitcoin price predictions: breakout or blowoff top? According to CryptoQuant’s rally tracker, Bitcoin is sitting at the edge of a possible breakout. The current ratio, a combination of NUPL and MVRV metrics, stands at roughly 0.8, a level that has historically marked the start of previous rallies. Bitcoin is warming up: Three scenarios that could shape the next rally“As of today, the on-chain momentum is in the 'start' rally zone (Ratio ≈ 0.8 / 80%). Let's examine three scenarios for the next six months:1. Optimistic (Bull)If the Ratio breaks through 1.0 and holds… pic.twitter.com/SlWx2UGg27— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) May 1, 2025 If that ratio climbs above 1.0 and stays there, the firm expects BTC to move toward the $150,000 to $175,000 range, tracking similar momentum bursts seen in 2017 and 2021. If it stalls between 0.8 and 1.0, Bitcoin may hover within a broader band of $90,000 to $110,000. A drop below 0.75, however, could invite another round of profit-taking from short-term holders, pulling the price back toward $70,000 to $85,000. That’s the less likely case, but not off the table. Meanwhile, the 2025 BTC price predictions are anything but aligned. The lowest among major forecasts comes from 10x Research, which pegs a top near $122,000, driven mainly by technicals and momentum cycles. 2025 Bitcoin price predictions have been rolling in—and they’re staggering.Not from influencers, but from banks, hedge funds, and asset allocators.I take these with a fine grain of salt, but interesting nonetheless.Here’s what they’re projecting—and why: 🧵 pic.twitter.com/yte1LhjZmI— Alec Bakhouche (@Alec_Bitcoin) May 1, 2025 At the other end is BlackRock’s scenario: $700,000, a figure that hinges on a hypothetical where just 2% to 5% of global institutional portfolios allocate to Bitcoin. Between those poles are a cluster of targets that fall in the $180,000 to $285,000 range. Standard Chartered expects $200,000, citing macro hedging behavior and growing institutional flows. H.C. Wainwright places its bet at $225,000, focused on the post-halving supply crunch combined with a clearer regulatory environment. Quant-driven outlooks, like the one from 21st Capital, offer a broader band of $135,000 to $285,000 based on modeled volatility and historical cycle markers. Tom Lee of Fundstrat and Anthony Pompliano both expect Bitcoin to reach $250,000, but for different reasons. Lee ties his forecast to liquidity expansion, while Pompliano sees it as a response to a structural demand shock as capital looks for stores of value outside traditional systems. What stands out is that no forecast assumes a return to the previous cycle structure. Bitcoin is now shaped by factors that did not exist in past cycles, including ETF inflows, treasury strategies from listed firms, and a changing macro backdrop. As things stand, a sustained move above $100,000 will likely require fresh capital and continued buying from new entrants. At the same time, long-term holders are sitting on large unrealized profits. If the price climbs too quickly, selling pressure could increase. The next few months may determine whether Bitcoin builds a solid base for higher valuations or faces resistance from within. As always, trade wisely and never invest more than you can afford to lose.