2025-03-09 01:00:00
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BTC、ETH、XRP、山寨币价格面临风险:纳斯达克 100 指数失去关键支撑

BTC、ETH、XRP、山寨币价格面临风险:纳斯达克 100 指数失去关键支撑

在唐纳德·特朗普总统主持白宫行业峰会后,加密货币价格恢复了下跌趋势。

比特币 (BTC) 价格从本周的高点 93,000 美元回落至 86,000 美元,而以太坊 (ETH)、Solana (SOL) 和瑞波币 (XRP) 等山寨币则下跌超过 1%。此次暴跌符合 crypto.news 峰会前的预测。

纳斯达克 100 指数跌破 200 日移动平均线

随着美国股市陷入下行趋势,比特币和其他山寨币可能会继续下跌。追踪最大科技公司的纳斯达克 100 指数即将进入技术调整阶段,资产将从局部高点下跌 10%。

It has formed a double-top pattern at $22,137 and moved below the neckline at $20,565. A double top is one of the most bearish chart patterns in technical analysis. 

The Nasdaq 100 index has also crashed below the 200-day moving average, pointing to a downtrend in the next few weeks. Also, the spread between the 200- and 50-day moving averages is narrowing, risking the formation of a death cross.


Nasdaq 100 index
Nasdaq 100 index chart | Source: TradingView

过去几周,其他大型美国股指,如标准普尔 500 指数和道琼斯指数也出现下跌。标准普尔 500 指数已从今年最高点下跌 6.3%。

美国股票和加密货币通常具有密切的相关性,因为它们被定义为风险资产。如下图所示,比特币和标准普尔 500 指数具有高度相关性。


Bitcoin and S&P 500 correlation
BTC 与标准普尔 500 指数的相关性 | 资料来源:NewHedge

Cryptocurrency and stock prices have retreated in the past few weeks because of concerns about stagflation in the U.S.

Flash economic data show that the US may be moving towards negative growth this quarter because of Trump tariff uncertainties. At the same time, inflation, which is already high, could jump as companies boost prices to offset the tariff impact. 

Impact on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices may continue falling if the US stock market keeps falling, as technicals show. 

XRP price has already formed a head and shoulders pattern and could have a strong bearish breakdown unless it moves above the right shoulder at $3.

Bitcoin is also at risk of further downside after forming a double-top pattern at $108,400. It has moved slightly below the neckline at $89,165 and is about to lose the 200-day moving average again. As such, there is a risk that it will drop to the key support at $73,550, the highest point in 2024.


Bitcoin price
BTC 价格图表 | 来源:crypto.news

以太坊价格在关键支撑位 2,000 美元上方徘徊,三顶形态的颈线在 3,000 美元。正如我们之前所写,该形态表明 ETH 价格可能跌至 1,500 美元及以下。

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