CryptoQuant 首席执行官表示，模因币市场将在 2030 年成熟

Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial. 当 OpenAI 的图像生成器首次展现出模仿吉卜力工作室标志性动画风格的能力时，粉丝们都惊呆了。但真正令人震惊的不仅仅是其惊人的精准度——而是吉卜力的作品很可能像无数其他作品一样，在未经许可或任何报酬的情况下被抄袭用于训练模型。这家备受喜爱的工作室数十年来积累的宝贵遗产，被机器吞噬，然后又被吐出来，以取乐。 您可能还喜欢：人工智能扼杀创造力。区块链拯救创造力 | 观点 这并非个例。从 ChatGPT 到 Midjourney，全球最强大的人工智能模型都基于数十亿未经授权的数据进行训练。尽管人工智能带来了巨大的好处，从医学突破到自动化生产力，但它也悄无声息地在剥削的基础上建立了一个帝国。这些系统并非中立。它们反映了其所消费数据中蕴含的文化、假设和偏见。 是时候认清我们所有人的身份了：无偿数据创造者。无论你是发布照片、撰写说明，还是为机器学习任务标记数据集，你都在为人工智能的未来贡献力量。到了2025年，我们该问：谁受益？谁又被抛在后面？ Big Tech’s dirty data secret From the start, AI’s most powerful models were fed by scraping massive swaths of the internet. Be it books, forums, code, images, all were ingested without credit or consent. Your tweets, Reddit posts, YouTube videos, blog comments, and even creative work became training fodder for multi-billion-dollar platforms. 法律诉讼开始层出不穷。《纽约时报》起诉OpenAI侵犯版权。Getty Images已将Stability AI告上法庭。艺术家和程序员们变得更加紧张，并联合起来要求公平对待。但多年来，这些公司却肆无忌惮地运营——将互联网的集体智慧转化为牟利的产品。 这种榨取经济对大多数人来说并不明显，但其影响却深远。人工智能公司出售订阅服务，筹集数十亿美元资金，并主导市场——而公众——他们为这些系统提供的知识却没有得到任何回报。 文化是克隆的，不是创造的 一个值得铭记的深刻事实是，人工智能并非创造。它只是模仿——而且通常模仿得很糟糕。当一个模型生成一幅画、一首诗或一个标题时，它并非在创造新的东西。它只是将人类现有作品的片段重新混合——剥离了背景、细微差别和意义。 更糟糕的是，它习惯于复制我们最糟糕的特质。人工智能系统从其训练数据中继承了偏见、文化假设和语言模式。结果呢？刻板印象被放大到极致。边缘群体的声音瞬间被抹去。机器只会鹦鹉学舌地重复那些强势或最坚定的观点。 Without intentional diversity in AI training, we risk a future where intelligence is defined by the few. That’s why the makeup of who trains AI matters more than ever. The rise of the data creator 在这个全新的数字经济时代，数据创造者不再仅仅是消费者或用户，他们更是建设者。从标记图像、注释文本，到审核数据集或生成结构化洞察，日常生活中的人们正逐渐成为机器学习基础设施不可或缺的一部分。 这不仅仅是技术上的转变，更需要经济上的转变。想象一下，一个去中心化的数据平台，贡献者可以根据他们的时间、技能和知识获得报酬。无论是通过稳定币、代币还是法币，人们都可以通过帮助训练人工智能直接获得报酬。这将创造一种新型的劳动力市场，一个更加灵活、全球化、对任何拥有智能手机和空闲时间的人开放的市场。 对于历史上被剥夺了机会的群体——农村工人、难民和没有银行账户的人——数据工作可以成为他们的生命线。只需极少的设备和基本的数字接入，他们就可以参与到地球上发展最快的行业之一，并提升技能。 去中心化智能是全球当务之急 为了实现这一目标，我们需要重新思考人工智能的训练方式。最好的解决方案是什么？建立一个去中心化的网络，让社区掌控智能的未来。 Here’s how it can work: enterprises submit data needs to a distributed platform. A global network of annotators—individuals working for their own benefit—complete tasks like labelling, tagging, creating, or refining datasets. These datasets could cover lip syncing, audio datasets, creating road sign datasets, or simple annotations. Gamified systems boost engagement and quality, turning data work into competitive challenges. The community governs itself, maintaining standards and voting on major decisions, while contributors build up reputations and earn rewards. 该模式高效、透明，最重要的是包容性强。借助区块链支持的可追溯性，企业可以验证其付费数据的质量和来源。这形成了一个闭合的价值循环：企业获得所需的训练数据，而人们则因其提供的情报而获得报酬。 这不仅仅是为了颠覆大型科技公司，更是要创造一种全新的智能：去中心化、民主化、多元化。至关重要的是，我们还要让人类参与其中。 打破垄断意味着重建体系 大型科技公司对人工智能的垄断不仅仅是经济层面的，更是意识形态层面的。这些公司决定着哪些数据重要，谁来训练模型，以及谁的声音在机器智能的未来中举足轻重。 但去中心化的替代方案改变了游戏规则。它们分配权力，鼓励参与，并将价值回馈给创造价值的人。它们挑战了过去十年数字增长中定义的榨取式规范。 最优秀的人工智能并非源自最庞大的数据集，而是源自最多样化、最符合伦理道德、最有意图的数据集。这样的未来不仅仅是可能，它已在构建中。 我们选择训练的未来 想象一下：一个偏远村庄里的年轻人，除了一部二手智能手机和免费Wi-Fi外一无所有。他加入了一个全球网络，并付费让他参与训练人工智能。他免费开设了一个数字钱包——他的第一个银行账户。他完成的每一项任务——标记图像、验证数据集——都会给他的钱包带来收入。他买食物，为妹妹支付学费。他第一次在全球经济中拥有了自主权。 这不是科幻小说。这是我们可以选择的未来。 So here’s the call: if you’re building, design with people at the center. If you’re investing, back decentralized intelligence. If you’re using AI, ask: Who trained this model—and were they paid? We are no longer just users of technology. We are the trainers of tomorrow’s intelligence. If we want AI to reflect us, then we must take back the mirror. 阅读更多：DeepSeek、中国和俄罗斯的人工智能合作：西方世界已注意到 | 观点 约翰娜·卡比尔多 乔安娜·罗斯·卡比尔多是 Data Guardians Network (D-GN) 的创始人兼首席执行官，这是一个去中心化的平台，通过社区驱动的数据训练，让人工智能触手可及。此前，她曾在 droppGroup 领导沙特政府、沙特阿美和思科的企业人工智能项目，带来前沿创新。Johanna 拥有技术、设计和加密货币交易方面的背景，是一位持续自学的建设者，致力于将好奇心转化为影响力。她的使命是打造真正的科技入口，让任何人，无论身在何处，都能贡献力量，并拥有属于自己的未来。

仔细观察比特币在每周时间范围内的当前价格走势以及 65,000 美元区域对于维持看涨市场结构的关键重要性。 随着比特币（BTC）的盘整，关注未来几周决定市场走向的关键技术水平至关重要。通过了解65,000美元左右的水平汇合点，我们可以借助稳健的风险管理框架，为更高胜率的交易做好准备。 要点： 65,000 美元区域及其技术汇合，将允许形成更高的低点 在进入交易之前等待支撑位测试的重要性 如果失去 65,000 美元的支撑位，则是一个明显的失效点，预示着可能出现更深层次的调整 65,000 美元区域对于比特币的看涨市场结构至关重要。它与控制点和 0.618 斐波那契回撤位相一致，这两者都是强大的技术指标。守住这一区域将在更高的时间框架内创造更高的低点，从而强化看涨趋势。 这种技术汇合提供了强劲支撑，如果价格走势维持在此区域之上，则增加了继续上涨的可能性。交易者应特别关注该水平附近的价格走势，以判断需求是否足够强劲以维持市场结构。 您可能还喜欢：纽约总检察长敦促国会通过加密货币法规 在执行交易之前，务必等待价格彻底测试支撑位。在确认支撑位有效之前过早入场，可能会导致价格进入阻力位或支撑位失效。耐心等待多根K线收盘价突破65,000美元区域，可以确保买家积极捍卫该水平，表明需求强劲。 过早执行交易会增加假突破和不必要损失的风险。因此，务必等待市场确认其确实在关键水平获得支撑后再采取行动。 6.5万美元水平的重要性 如果卖方继续主导市场情绪，且 65,000 美元的水平未能守住，这将打破市场高位低位结构，为更深层次的回调打开大门。失去这一关键水平将使看涨格局失效。 下一个可能的目标可能是价值区域低点，这可能预示着更深的回调。交易者应密切关注这一失效点，以避免陷入可能持续数周甚至数月的更大规模市场回调。 在应对更高时间框架的价格走势时，耐心至关重要。市场结构和关键支撑位（例如 65,000 美元区域）需要时间来发展和巩固，之后才能做出任何交易决策。 通过等待支撑位被测试和明确定义，交易者可以避免过早进入交易并确保他们处于更高概率的设置位置。 了解 65,000 美元的失效点，还能更好地管理风险，并在市场结构发生变化时制定清晰的退出策略。保持耐心，交易者就能更好地应对比特币价格波动的本质，并提高长期盈利的可能性。 阅读更多：经济学家维持经济衰退概率为 60% 导致以太坊价格涨势停滞

特朗普风格商品的顾客可能会收到来自总统模因币团队的空投。 购买总统唐纳德·特朗普发行的古龙水、运动鞋、手表或非同质化代币的用户可能会获得 TRUMP 代币 (TRUMP) 奖励以表彰他们的支持。 2 月 17 日，与特朗普有关的一个实体推出了一个索赔门户，由 Crossmint 提供支持。然而，有一个问题——只有在 2 月 15 日之前购买商品的买家才有资格。 你可能还喜欢：观点特朗普的贸易战：关税、经济衰退风险和加密货币波动 | 观点 Regardless of how much they spent, eligible users will receive three TRUMP coins, the 47th President’s official meme token. At press time, TRUMP was trading at $17, meaning the airdrop is valued at approximately $50. Users have until March 1 to claim their tokens, according to the website. 总统在 1 月 20 日就职典礼前几天推出了他的模因币，迅速占领了该领域，并通过完全稀释的估值短暂超越了狗狗币 (DOGE) 等模因领导者。 在飙升至 70 美元并达到 700 亿美元的市值后，该模因币经历了急剧回调，因为特朗普推出了第二个官方代币——受第一夫人启发的梅拉尼娅（MELANIA）。 阅读更多：独家：斯卡拉穆奇称比特币今年将达到 20 万美元，这只是“时间问题，而不是是否”的问题

根据韩国金融服务委员会的最新公告，韩国计划逐步允许企业开始加密货币交易。 2 月 13 日，香港证监会发布新闻稿，概述了分阶段解除禁止机构参与虚拟资产交易市场的禁令。今年年初有报道称，韩国正在考虑解除机构加密货币交易禁令。 在该计划的第一阶段，当局将允许执法机构、非营利组织、学校公司和大学出售比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) 等加密货币。这将用于套现目的，这些实体将在今年上半年获准在虚拟资产交易所使用这些服务。 韩国随后将推出一项试点计划，为约 3,500 家上市公司和企业提供加密货币买卖服务。该计划预计将于今年下半年上线，并将为根据该国《资本市场法》注册的专业投资者提供数字资产交易服务。 你可能还喜欢：CEX.IO 为英国客户提供现货交易 自 2017 年政府实施限制以来，一直禁止公司和其他专业实体进行加密货币交易。此举旨在解决投机、洗钱和市场操纵问题。 根据证监会的说法，该国《虚拟资产用户保护法》的颁布和实施为用户提供了关键的保护措施。 同样值得注意的是，全球趋势是其他国家允许企业进入和参与数字资产市场。监管机构指出，对区块链相关投资和服务的需求也意味着当地市场必须转变。 韩国金融监督院计划成立一个由相关组织参与的工作组，以期发布内部控制标准的监管框架。金融监督院、韩国银行联合会和数字资产交易所联盟（DAXA）将协助制定加密货币交易指南。 FSC 指出，与交易所和行业专家等市场参与者的合作对于企业进军虚拟资产市场的路线图也至关重要。 你可能还喜欢：韩国交易所主席表示，韩国必须批准加密货币 ETF，否则可能会落后

Ethereum price prediction is turning bullish after a 95% rebound, but can ETH really hold above $2,600, or is this just post-truce momentum? Table of ContentsEthereum finally back in playBernstein’s thesis and ETH’s shifting roleUpgrades, blobs, and long-term roadmapEthereum price prediction and technical signals Ethereum finally back in play Ethereum (ETH) is making a quiet but strong recovery. After weeks of staying relatively muted, the second-largest crypto by market cap has climbed more than 6% in the past 24 hours and is now trading around $2,613 as of May 14. ETH Price Chart | Source: crypto.news Over the past week, ETH has gained 44%, briefly touching $2,736 on May 13, its highest level since late February. Just a month ago, ETH was trading near $1,336 on Apr. 9. That low came during heightened concerns over U.S.-induced trade wars, which had rattled broader markets. Since then, Ethereum has rebounded nearly 95%, supported by easing macro uncertainty and a growing sense of optimism about its long-term role in the digital economy. On Tuesday, the latest U.S. inflation report showed consumer prices rising just 0.2% month over month in April. Annual inflation stood at 2.3%, only slightly above the Federal Reserve’s target. Market sentiment has also improved following the 90-day trade truce between the U.S. and China. Ethereum is also gaining strength from within its own ecosystem. The recent Pectra upgrade introduced performance improvements aimed at enhancing network efficiency and transaction speed. The upgrade went live when ETH was priced near $1,700, and its rollout has aligned with the broader price recovery, reinforcing market confidence in Ethereum’s future scalability. The pace of the rally so far has been measured. Trading volumes are building steadily, and there is little indication of speculative excess or leveraged positioning. Let’s see how the latest developments are affecting Ethereum price prediction. Bernstein’s thesis and ETH’s shifting role According to a client note by research and brokerage firm Bernstein, led by analyst Gautam Chhugani, Ethereum’s bounce is being driven by three overlapping forces that mark a departure from its previously lagging performance. Until recently, Ethereum had been underperforming both Bitcoin (BTC) and faster layer 1 competitors. The ETH to BTC ratio dropped by around 45% over the past year, as investors favored Bitcoin for its perceived store-of-value role, especially following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. At the same time, retail attention shifted toward newer chains offering lower fees and faster transactions. In Bernstein’s view, Ethereum found itself stuck in the middle. It was no longer the fastest platform for everyday users, nor did it command the same level of institutional confidence as Bitcoin. That context is now beginning to change. Bernstein notes that Ethereum is starting to benefit from increased focus on stablecoin usage, real-world asset tokenization, and the maturation of layer 2 networks. Stablecoins and tokenized securities are gaining meaningful traction as tools for payments and settlement. Ethereum hosts more than half of the total stablecoin supply, positioning it as a natural settlement layer for these transactions.  Real-world tokenization, now valued at over $22 billion according to RWA.xyz, is also centered around Ethereum, with firms like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton leading deployment efforts. The second major driver comes from Ethereum’s layer 2 ecosystem. While some have questioned whether these networks directly benefit Ethereum, Bernstein points out that several institutional-grade applications are beginning to emerge. Coinbase-backed Base, for instance, generated $84 million in revenue last year. These layer 2 platforms still rely on ETH for settlement and gas, reinforcing the asset’s underlying economic utility. Robinhood’s acquisition of WonderFi, which operates a layer 2 network, suggests a potential path where brokers may begin launching tokenized equities on Ethereum-compatible infrastructure. The third factor is more market-driven. Over the past year, many hedge funds used ETH as a hedge within their portfolios, shorting it while remaining long on other assets such as Bitcoin or Solana (SOL), creating consistent downward pressure on ETH relative to the broader market. As the Ethereum narrative begins to align more closely with real-world adoption trends, many of those short positions are being closed. Bernstein sees this unwind as one of the forces contributing to ETH’s recent outperformance. Taken together, these factors suggest that Ethereum’s rise is being fueled not only by shifting sentiment, but also by deeper structural changes in how the network is used and valued. Upgrades, blobs, and long-term roadmap Ethereum is entering a new phase of development, marked by a renewed push toward scalability and real-world usability. The shift began with the rollout of Pectra, the network’s most important upgrade since the Merge in 2022. Key improvements introduced in Pectra include a doubling of blob capacity for layer 2 networks, which helps reduce congestion and lower transaction fees.  The upgrade also enables Account Abstraction, allowing users to pay gas fees in stablecoins such as Dai (DAI) and USD Coin (USDC).  Another major change involves increasing the maximum validator stake from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH, making node operations more efficient for institutional participants. With Pectra now live, developer attention has moved to Fusaka, Ethereum’s next major protocol upgrade, which is expected by the end of 2025. A central feature of Fusaka is Peer Data Availability Sampling, or PeerDAS. The proposal aims to help ETH manage larger volumes of off-chain data while preserving network security and performance. PeerDAS builds on the concept of blob data, introduced during the earlier Dencun upgrade. Blobs are temporary data chunks stored outside the Ethereum mainnet and are increasingly used by layer 2 networks such as Arbitrum (ARB), Optimism (OP), and Base. These networks improve efficiency by processing transactions off-chain while continuing to use ETH for final settlement and security. Relying on blobs allows them to operate at lower cost and higher speed without overloading the base layer. PeerDAS enhances this system by allowing validators to check only small samples of blob data rather than full data sets. The change improves bandwidth efficiency and supports a higher transaction load without compromising decentralization or speed. Reducing the burden on validators while maintaining network performance could make it easier for developers and institutions to deploy complex applications at scale. Despite these advances, Ethereum’s upgrade timeline remains a point of concern. The network has a history of delays, often caused by extensive testing and the challenges of coordinating a decentralized developer ecosystem. Pectra, originally targeted for late 2024, faced multiple postponements before going live in May 2025. Similar uncertainty now surrounds Fusaka, with much of the community watching closely to see whether it will remain on schedule. At the same time, alternative blockchains are attracting attention through faster release cycles and simpler governance models. The contrast has sparked ongoing debate about the Ethereum Foundation’s role and the network’s ability to adapt with greater agility. Ethereum price prediction and technical signals Ethereum’s rally over the past week has surfaced several key signals pointing to a shift in sentiment, although some caution remains. Daan Crypto Trades highlights the unusually large weekly candle, which he attributes to the unwinding of accumulated short positions built up over recent months.  $ETH Big level here. We saw the biggest weekly candle in years fueled by a ton of built up shorts from the past few months.I'd say play this level by level and watch for next week to develop to see where these alts are going to get picked up after the squeezes are done. pic.twitter.com/DTHcTHTeHh— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) May 11, 2025 In his view, such moves can distort near-term price signals. He recommends watching how the next few weeks unfold to assess whether actual demand follows, implying that the recent momentum may be partly mechanical and could fade as positioning resets. Michaël van de Poppe takes a broader perspective, noting that the ETH to BTC ratio has climbed approximately 40% from its recent low. He sees this as a sign of changing capital rotation, with Ethereum beginning to recover after a long stretch of underperformance.  A 40% increase on $ETH/BTC since the low.That's the change of market pendulum.I think we'll see some more upside, but would be waiting for the standard 20-30% corrections to jump into $ETH.The smaller caps will yield a higher return, way higher. pic.twitter.com/DEE10RAYl7— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) May 14, 2025 At the same time, he warns that 20% to 30% corrections are normal during strong trends and should be treated as expected volatility rather than early signs of weakness. From a technical standpoint, some analysts are watching for potential gaps. According to Titan of Crypto, ETH recently filled a major Chicago Mercantile Exchange gap between $2,540 and $2,620.  #Ethereum $3,200 Soon? 📈On the #ETH CME Futures daily chart, the gap between $2,540 – $2,620 has now been filled ✅Only one remains above:🕳️ $2,890 – $3,230 ⏳Gaps tend to get filled. pic.twitter.com/zCTsR36tvf— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) May 13, 2025 The next unfilled gap lies in the $2,890 to $3,230 zone. While CME gaps have historically shown a tendency to close over time, they do not always fill immediately. These levels may act as demand zones if upward momentum persists. VirtualBacon, another market analyst, argues that ETH’s earlier underperformance led to a period of mispricing. His base case suggests ETH could reach $10,000 if Bitcoin climbs to $200,000 and the ETH to BTC ratio returns to 0.05.  8/x My $ETH price target hasn’t changed. Just the timeline.I still expect:• $10K $ETH if $BTC hits $200K and ETH/BTC reaches 0.05• $12K $ETH if $BTC hits $250K or ETH/BTC reaches 0.06This isn't a moonshot, this is just a repeat of past cycles.— VirtualBacon (@VirtualBacon0x) May 12, 2025 A move toward $12,000 is also possible under more aggressive conditions, including BTC rising to $250,000 or ETH to BTC touching 0.06. Some institutional forecasts support similar expectations. In a previous analysis, asset manager VanEck projected that ETH could rise above $6,000 in 2025. Whether these Ethereum price predictions materialize will depend on broader market sentiment and how quickly investor focus shifts from speculation to real-world utility.  As always, caution remains essential, and always remember the golden rule: never invest more than you can afford to lose. Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.