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Litecoin price is hovering near a crucial resistance level, with both fundamentals and technical indicators suggesting a potential surge of over 75% this year.
莱特币（LTC）周四升至 128.37 美元的高位，较今年最低水平上涨约 60%。
莱特币的主要催化剂是美国证券交易委员会在今年晚些时候批准莱特币现货交易所交易基金的可能性越来越大。包括 Canary Capital、Grayscale 和 CoinShares 在内的公司都已提交了莱特币现货基金的申请。
据 Polymarket 称，美国证券交易委员会批准莱特币现货交易所交易基金的可能性已攀升至 85%，表明市场对上市充满信心。另一项民意调查显示，该机构在 7 月 31 日之前批准该基金的可能性为 52%。
Odds of proof-of-work coins such as Litecoin and Dogecoin (DOGE) receiving regulatory approval are significantly higher than those for proof-of-stake tokens. The SEC views Litecoin and Dogecoin as digital commodities, while it categorizes other tokens as securities.
Litecoin’s price has also increased as demand in the futures market has surged. Open interest in Litecoin futures climbed to $870 million on Wednesday, up from this month’s low of $420 million. Rising futures interest signals growing investor positioning and speculation.
The weekly chart shows that Litecoin’s price has rebounded in recent weeks. It has moved above the 50-week Exponential Moving Average and surpassed the key resistance level at $114.05. This level was significant as it formed the upper boundary of an ascending triangle, a pattern widely considered bullish in technical analysis.
此外，莱特币已形成倾斜的三重底形态，这是另一个看涨指标。该代币还处于形成艾略特波浪形态的第二阶段的过程中，其中第三阶段通常是最强和最长的。
鉴于这些因素，莱特币的价格可能会继续上涨，下一个目标是 225 美元，即 50% 斐波那契回撤水平，比当前价格有 75% 的上涨空间。然而，如果莱特币的价格跌破 80 美元的支撑位，这种看涨前景将失效。
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