Pepe 币价格暴跌至关键支撑位：2025 年能否达到 1 美元？

欧盟已将目标对准俄罗斯最大的受制裁加密货币交易所，但分析人士指出，该交易所多年来仍在制裁下成功运营。 2 月 24 日星期一，欧洲理事会推出了第 16 项制裁方案，将俄罗斯加密货币交易所 Garantex 列入名单，因为它“与欧盟制裁的俄罗斯银行关系密切”。 Garantex 似乎是克里姆林宫眼中最大的俄罗斯加密货币交易所之一。据交易所网站称，该交易所在莫斯科的联邦大厦设有办事处，提供俄罗斯银行卡（包括 Sberbank、Tinkoff 和 Alfa-Bank）现金卢布的存取服务。 两年前，Garantex 交易所被美国财政部外国资产控制办公室列入黑名单，随后欧洲理事会对该公司实施制裁。 “不会产生重大影响” 该交易所由俄罗斯技术专家斯坦尼斯拉夫·德鲁加列夫和前克格勃官员谢尔盖·门捷列夫于 2019 年底共同创立，最初总部位于爱沙尼亚，长期以来因其在促进非法交易方面所扮演的角色而受到审查。 根据美国区块链情报公司 Chainalysis 的数据，该交易所帮助促成了与勒索软件团伙和暗网市场相关的支付，包括臭名昭著的 Hydra 市场，该市场于 2022 年 4 月被关闭。根据不同消息来源，Garantex 还被包括真主党在内的各种犯罪组织和恐怖组织使用。 Chainalysis 国家安全情报负责人安德鲁·费尔曼 (Andrew Fierman) 在接受 crypto.news 采访时指出，在“美国和英国制裁多年后”，Garantex 仍然活跃。 “欧盟此举虽然会要求对欧盟实体实施更多制裁，但可能不会对 Garantex 的整体运营产生重大影响。然而，这象征着欧盟努力对俄罗斯金融服务和加密货币交易所施加经济压力。” 费尔曼指出，信任在“俄罗斯加密货币生态系统中发挥着重要作用”。他还补充说，尽管受到最新制裁，但只要 Garantex 仍在运营，它就会继续发挥“重要作用”。 “Garantex 通常是俄罗斯境内值得信赖的平台，拥有稳定的流动性储备，因此用户不太可能现在离开该平台。正如我们在俄罗斯其他交易所看到的那样，例如 Berebit 停止了提款，转而向客户提供巧克力，后来被俄罗斯执法部门取缔，或受到国际执法行动影响的组织，例如德国 BKA 拆除了 47 个较小的、没有 KYC 的平台，用户可能会涌向资金最安全的服务。” Garantex 的可信度不仅与其在俄罗斯的长期存在有关，还与其明显得到克里姆林宫的支持有关。2024 年 3 月，爱沙尼亚快报和国际调查记者联盟的一项调查揭露了 Garantex 附属公司与俄罗斯政府之间的联系。该报告发现，该交易所的一位联合创始人在神秘的情况下死亡，不久之后，另一位与克里姆林宫控制的石油巨头俄罗斯石油公司有联系的股东控制了该公司的记录。 美国数字取证分析师理查德·桑德斯 (Richard Sanders) 指出，俄罗斯政府可能有既得利益允许 Garantex 运营。 “俄罗斯政府获得的情报价值远远超过他们起诉罪犯的意愿，因为这些罪犯大体上从政府认为的不友好国家获利。暗网市场和勒索软件团体是 Garantex 的主要客户。” 根据调查，Garantex 为其业务进行了辩护，声称其积极努力防止非法活动并与国际执法机构合作。然而，美国财政部于 2022 年 4 月实施的制裁凸显了该交易所在促进非法交易方面的作用。 据认证反洗钱专家协会金融犯罪分析师乔治·沃洛辛 (George Voloshin) 介绍，Garantex 的运作方式与非正式汇款网络（通常被称为“哈瓦拉”系统）类似，可以逃避监管和传统的金融监督。 你可能还喜欢：TRM Labs 称俄罗斯勒索软件产生了超过 5 亿美元的加密货币收益 区块链取证公司 TRM Labs 的英国和欧盟政策主管伊莎贝拉·蔡斯 (Isabella Chase) 在评论中告诉 crypto.news，尽管 Garantex 在 2022 年受到美国制裁，但该公司仍继续处理“每年数十亿美元的交易，让网络犯罪分子和受制裁的实体在最低限度的监督下洗钱”。 根据 TRM Labs 的数据，Garantex 和伊朗加密货币交易所 Nobitex 占受制裁实体和司法管辖区资金流入的 85% 以上。 “欧盟对 Garantex 的制裁旨在进一步限制其国际运营能力，增加洗钱的难度。然而，执法是关键——如果没有强有力的国际合作，网络犯罪分子可能会将活动转移到其他不合规的交易所或去中心化平台。Garantex 并不是坏人的唯一选择。” 伊莎貝拉·蔡斯 TRM 实验室已将交易所视为主要推动者，但其他地下银行网络、点对点平台和去中心化金融服务也“仍然是寻求转移资金的犯罪分子的替代方案”，TRM 实验室指出。 尽管Garantex努力与执法部门合作，但其与俄罗斯政府及可疑行为者的深厚联系引发担忧。分析人士警告称，该公司在克里姆林宫监督下的持续运营威胁到国际安全和全球加密市场。 阅读更多：Chainalysis 警告称，俄罗斯可能通过新立法依赖 Garantex 逃避制裁

Bitcoin maxis say, “Never sell your Bitcoin.” They repeat it when the market crashes to urge people not to dump their BTC in a loss out of panic and fear. They repeat it when the price is going up because they believe that no matter how high the cost is in relation to previous levels, it is still negligible in comparison to the future levels. So if they never sell, why do they care about its price (oh, they do)? Table of ContentsThe message behind HODL“Never sell Bitcoin to whales”A man who claims he will never sell Bitcoin The message behind HODL The term “hodl” is one of the staples of hardcore bitcoiners. It is a misspelled word “hold.” The history behind the term captures the spirit of the “Never sell your Bitcoin” attitude pretty well.  The “hodl” term dates back to a 2013 thread on the Bitcointalk forum. The original post was written by a tipsy hobby investor using a GameKyuubi moniker. His message titled “I AM HODLING” was a rant perfectly lousily worded amidst the Bitcoin price downfall (and the OP’s untimely tiff with a girlfriend). In the message, GameKyuubi calls himself a bad trader and reveals he will hold Bitcoin instead of trying to time the market as good traders do.  “You only sell in a bear market if you are a good day trader or an illusioned noob.  The people in between hold.  In a zero-sum game such as this, traders can only take your money if you sell.” GameKyuubi’s post struck a nerve, and folks on the forum responded to it with multiple urges to HODL, a meme (and a term used until the present day) was born. 5/ That’s when GameKyuubi wrote his famous thread.💎 💎 💎 I AM HODLING 💎 💎 💎"BTC crashing WHY AM I HOLDING? I’LL TELL YOU WHY. It’s because I’m a bad trader and I KNOW I’M A BAD TRADER."He poured his soul out to the forums 🧡 pic.twitter.com/XPcsLEHRdH— The Bitcoin Historian (@pete_rizzo_) March 1, 2025 If we think about GameKyuubi’s message, we’ll see that he wasn’t against taking profits at all. He just didn’t know when to sell his bitcoins in exchange for fiat money, so he decided not to do that to avoid being “a bad trader.”  Many interpret the “Never sell Bitcoin” principle not literally. In one of the discussions on the topic on Reddit, many bitcoiners admitted that they just don’t exchange their bitcoins for dollars. Instead, they continue to buy more Bitcoin and hold it until they need a substantial amount of money. They may sell their BTC if they buy a car or make other costly purchases. Some spend their sats to pay their rent but leave the rest of the profits in Bitcoin and don’t plan to sell it. So, they think that it’s better to hold money in Bitcoin rather than in fiat money. Bitcoin is a savings currency for them, as they believe in Bitcoin’s long-term price appreciation. It’s understood that for these people, Bitcoin’s price is an important metric, even if they haven’t sold it for years. “Never sell Bitcoin to whales” Whales are the holders of large crypto bags worth millions. In the 2020s, the Bitcoin price trajectory became heavily influenced by whale transactions. The chart indicating the correlation between Bitcoin price and the number of transactions made by the wallets holding over 10,000 BTC looks almost like mountains reflected in the lake–whenever the amount of whales’ transactions goes up, the price goes down, and vice versa. These curves may seem inverted in relation to each other. If we take a closer look at the segment where GameKuubi writes, “In a zero-sum game […], traders can only take your money if you sell,” we may see the reflection of another popular motto: “Never sell your Bitcoin to whales.” Whales will buy your bitcoins at any price at any time. However, the chances you will be able to re-purchase what you sold are small as Bitcoin’s price keeps on moving up, and whales are not avid sellers.  Read more:Dormant whale awakens after 8 years, moves $250m worth of Bitcoin: Arkham A man who claims he will never sell Bitcoin Michael Saylor of Strategy is probably the most radical follower of the “Never sell your Bitcoin” creed. His company follows the “Bitcoin standard” and sells its shares and takes on debt while buying more and more Bitcoin. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has been buying Bitcoin since 2020. It already holds over 500,000 BTC (over 2.5% of the total supply), and Saylor claims he will never sell Bitcoin. Once, he said that destroying the keys from the wallets with substantial amounts of Bitcoin was not a bad idea.  Saylor urges corporations and the U.S. government to use his blueprint and start accumulating Bitcoin. According to him, those who control the biggest share of the total 21,000,000 units of Bitcoin will have the most influence in the future.  This vision suggests that the price of Bitcoin is not as important as having as much bitcoin as possible (“we are still early,” “Bitcoin is still undervalued”). It is reflected in the randomly looking dates of Strategy’s purchases of huge amounts of Bitcoin, often on the “wrong” days when the price is high (for this, Saylor was even jokingly called “one of the worst crypto traders in modern history”). However, the price of Bitcoin is still important for the company as it affects the value of Strategy’s shares (MSTR) and the further planning of the Bitcoin-based strategy. According to Saylor, if the BTC price drops to $1, he will just buy all the bitcoins. Having one of the biggest stacks of bitcoins and having no intention to sell it draws broad philosophical questions like what it means to be rich. However, let’s leave it at this. You might also like:Media report Michael Saylor is going to burn his private keys as he dies. See what he actually said

Tron has officially surpassed Ethereum in total circulating USDT, marking a major shift in the stablecoin space. According to a May 12 post by CryptoQuant contributor Maartunn, on May 6, Tron’s (TRX) USDT supply reached $73.8 billion, exceeding Ethereum’s (ETH) $71.9 billion. Tron is now leading in USDT issuance for the first time after almost two years of steady growth, propelled by cheap fees, quick settlement times, and a stable network. TRON $73.8B USDT Supply Overtakes Ethereum’s USDT Supply“For the first time ever, the total supply of USDT on TRON (TRC-20) surged past that on Ethereum (ERC-20), reaching $73.8B versus $71.9B.” – By @JA_Maartun pic.twitter.com/wuhj8HFPEb— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) May 12, 2025 Since mid-2023, Tron’s growth has been consistent. The TRC-20 network has become the preferred choice for large-scale Tether (USDT) transactions, with more than $14 billion worth of new USDT being minted on the network in just the first half of 2025. It has gained popularity among decentralized finance users, traders, and businesses due to its low transaction fees, quick block finality, and reliable uptime.  In contrast, Ethereum’s USDT growth has stabilized. Users are now switching to less costly options like Tron or Layer-2 solutions because of high gas prices and slower settlement. As a result, even though Ethereum was the original home of USDT, it has begun to lose ground in the stablecoin space. You might also like:MoonPay joins forces with TRON, adds support for TRX in the U.S. Beyond stablecoins, Tron’s ecosystem is thriving. With a daily transaction volume of over 8.4 million, the network recently surpassed 10 billion total transactions. Tron’s decentralized exchange volume increased from $3.4 billion to $4.9 billion in April, a 40% rise from the previous month. Additionally, its total value locked has risen to more than $5 billion. Adding to the momentum, on May 1, World Liberty Financial announced the integration of its USD1 stablecoin onto the Tron network. At TOKEN2049 in Dubai, Tron also revealed a new Gas Free feature, allowing users to pay fees without holding TRX. At the time of writing, TRX, is trading at $0.2618, up over 6% in the past week. Tron founder Justin Sun has revealed that he expects TRX to hit a new all-time high this quarter, citing growing network activity and its increasing correlation with Bitcoin (BTC).  Read more:Tron memecoins skyrocket as Justin Sun pushes zero-fee meme trading

数据显示，第一季度区块链游戏资金大幅下降，总投资额环比下降 71%。 Web3 gaming took a hit in the first quarter as global markets faced pressure from trade wars and rising geopolitical tensions. Data from blockchain analytics platform DappRadar shows that web3 gaming investments fell by 71% quarter-over-quarter to $91 million, though deal count grew by 35%. Blockchain gaming recorded 5.8 million daily unique active wallets in Q1, down 6% from the previous quarter, according to the data. Despite the drop, Sara Gherghelas, DappRadar’s blockchain analyst, says opBNB remained “firmly in the lead as the most used gaming blockchain this quarter.” Number of web3 gaming investments quarterly | Source: DappRadar It wasn’t just gaming investments that cooled — metaverse activity slowed too, with NFT trading volume dropping 28%, Gherghelas said. Even so, infrastructure remains a top priority for investors. Key rounds this quarter included $20 million for MARBLEX, $13.5 million for Beamable, and $10 million for The Game Company, all focused on building tools and backends for scalable gameplay. You might also like:The web3 gaming knowledge gap and how to bridge it | Opinion DappRadar 分析师指出，本季度的大部分资金“都流向了以基础设施为重点的项目，这强化了 web3 游戏中的一个长期事实：强大的基础设施对于可扩展的高质量游戏体验至关重要。” 第一季度 Web3 投资类别 | 数据来源：DappRadar 尽管整体活动和资本流入“由于更广泛的市场逆风而下降”，但 Gherghelas 表示，“交易数量的增加、基础设施的持续发展以及顶级游戏的稳定表现”仍然显示出“生态系统具有弹性和不断发展”的迹象。 正如 crypto.news 早些时候报道的那样，2024 年更广泛的 NFT 市场表现也好不到哪里去。交易量从 2023 年的 168 亿美元降至 137 亿美元，为 2020 年以来的最低水平，交易活动下降了 19%，NFT 总销量从一年前的 6000 多万下降到 4980 万。 阅读更多：DappRadar: DeFi TVL fell 27% in Q1 as AI and social dApps drove web3 growth

Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, warned that the ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions could push the Federal Reserve towards hiking interest rates, a move that is generally seen as a headwind for cryptocurrency and other risk assets. Speaking on CNBC’s “Power Lunch” segment Wednesday afternoon, Sri-Kumar said he believes an interest rate hike is necessary as inflation risks mount. Notably, he expressed skepticism over the narrative that the trade war is nearing resolution which means the “Fed has to be vigilant”. This view contradicts the growing market expectation of rate cuts as the Fed attempts to support economic growth. Crypto.news analyst Crispus Nyaga commented in an April 4 article that interest rate cuts is historically bullish for Bitcoin (BTC) and other asset classes. He added that any move to raise rates could provoke further friction with the White House, which may pressure Fed Chair Jerome Powell despite his independence. Powell, who has one year left in his term, has been at the center of this tension, with previous reports indicating the president had considered firing him, a threat that has since been walked back. Sri-Kumar’s message was clear: expect more volatility ahead, both from unpredictable geopolitical shifts and a central bank navigating a treacherous inflationary landscape. Read more:Stocks jump as investors react to tariffs news, Trump’s Powell flip No concessions, no clarity According to Sri-Kumar, the recent interactions between the U.S. and China demonstrate a lopsided dynamic. While the U.S. administration has toned down its tariff threats, China has not made significant concessions in return. “Trump, after a big talk about 145% tariffs, is now willing to come down without any concession on the Chinese part,” Sri-Kumar noted. As such, the president weakened the U.S.’s negotiating stance. He criticized what he perceives as an inconsistent strategy from the administration, pointing out that markets and foreign leaders now anticipate that tough talk from Washington will eventually soften if markets begin to falter. “That is a very bad negotiating strategy,” he said. He further noted that the trade war has perpetuated uncertainty for U.S. manufacturers, who remain wary of new or returning tariffs if negotiations sour. While markets are rallying on encouraging comments from the White House, the uncertainty companies faced just days ago “has not gone away.” You might also like:Is the Bitcoin rally losing steam at key Fibonacci resistance?