SEC 最终承认了 Solana ETF 的申请，此前曾多次遭到拒绝

Regulatory shifts and increasing client demand prompted Morgan Stanley to start building a crypto trading feature for its E*TRADE platform. Latest regulatory shifts have prompted traditional financial institutions to bet on crypto. On May 1, reports surfaced that global asset manager Morgan Stanley is planning to offer crypto trading services to its E*TRADE clients. According to Bloomberg, the asset manager is already building a crypto trading feature for the platform. The planned launch of the feature is in 2026, when crypto trading will be available for all of its 5.2 million retail clients. Morgan Stanley joins other investment giants in retail crypto The feature would expand E*TRADE’s crypto offering, which is currently limited to crypto ETFs approved in the United States, as well as Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust and Bitcoin futures. The new feature would enable crypto spot trading, which means that clients would trade real crypto assets. You might also like:Morgan Stanley will work with U.S. regulators to offer crypto: CEO Morgan Stanley will partner with crypto-native firms, which would handle the crypto in the background. This involves custody, fiat-to-crypto onramps and offramps, and more. As the project is still in its early stages, there is little info on which assets would be available for trading. Major financial institutions are slowly warming to crypto, driven both by regulatory shifts and user demand. Following Donald Trump’s inauguration, the U.S. regulatory environment has shifted decisively in crypto’s favor. For this reason, traditional financial institutions are much more willing to bet on the industry. You might also like:Citigroup sees stablecoin issuers among top US Treasury holders by 2030 For instance, Fidelity offers Bitcoin trading and custody for its institutional clients, while also launching Fidelity Crypto for retail traders. Moreover, Charles Schwab offers spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, as well as other products with crypto exposure. E*TRADE by Morgan Stanley is a brokerage and trading platform that appeals to retail users. It already offers investment options such as U.S. stocks, ETFs, options, and mutual funds. The platform’s goal is to make trading easier and more accessible. Read more:Morgan Stanley exec says Trump’s threats to Fed chief Powell is ‘noise’

美国对中国征收的关税可能会产生适得其反的效果，因为中国会减少美元购买量，而两国的货币不稳定又会激发人们对比特币的兴趣。 在美国历史性关税的影响下，中国正竭力捍卫本国货币，这刺激了对比特币（B）的新一轮需求。4月9日（星期三），中国人民银行指示中国各大银行减少美元购买量，以支撑不断贬值的人民币。 美国对所有中国商品加征 104% 关税的决定于美国东部时间 4 月 9 日中午生效，中国国内市场仍未摆脱这一影响。受此影响，人民币兑美元汇率在国内交易时段收盘跌至 7.3498，创下 2007 年 12 月以来的最低水平。 你可能还喜欢：中国承诺回应特朗普的 50% 关税举措，比特币价格有望飙升 地缘政治不确定性全面拖累加密资产。4月9日，比特币下跌4.07%，交易价报76,407美元。尽管短期面临压力，但一些分析师认为，这种情况最终可能对比特币有利。 美元和人民币疲软或将令比特币受益 一家新加坡区块链公司的分析师认为，人民币疲软可能引发比特币的突破。BitMEX联合创始人Arthur Hayes也表达了同样的观点。他表示，人民币疲软将促使中国投资者寻求其他避风港，包括比特币。 这项分析基于比特币作为通胀对冲工具的作用，对一些投资者来说，它确实如此。例如，在黎巴嫩和土耳其货币危机期间，许多投资者将比特币视为一种相对稳定的资产。至少与本国法定货币相比是如此。 不过，其他分析师对这种说法提出了质疑，他们认为比特币仍然更像是一种风险资产。例如，币安的最新报告指出，比特币与标准普尔500指数的相关性飙升至0.47，而与黄金的相关性则下降至-0.22。 这表明，尽管地缘政治紧张局势持续存在，交易员们仍然普遍将比特币视为高增长、风险资产，而非防御性通胀对冲工具。然而，随着经济困境的加剧，这种看法可能会开始转变。 你可能还喜欢：南森：中美关系升级是风险资产和加密货币的“最坏情况”

Robinhood 和 Kalshi 推出了针对男子和女子大学篮球锦标赛的预测市场，允许用户根据比赛结果交易赛事合约。 Robinhood 似乎正在进一步涉足预测市场，与 Kalshi 合作，让用户可以交易大学篮球比赛。球迷们现在可以买卖赛事合约，而不仅仅是填写比赛对阵表，价格会根据市场对每支球队获胜几率的看法以美分为单位波动。 Robinhood 在 3 月 17 日星期一的博客公告中表示，所谓的预测市场中心在发布时“将允许客户交易 5 月份目标联邦基金利率上限以及即将举行的男子和女子大学篮球锦标赛的合约。” 从今天开始，您就可以交易男子和女子大学篮球锦标赛的合同。开赛时见：https://t.co/WXpUDpYBJO pic.twitter.com/fRF6xhr0Xd— Robinhood (@RobinhoodApp) 2025 年 3 月 17 日 这家总部位于门洛帕克的公司在专门的网页上表示：“现在，你可以对男女大学篮球锦标赛的每一场比赛的结果进行交易，包括最后的冠军赛。”结算时持有获胜合约的用户将获得每份合约 1 美元的赔付，而输掉的合约将一文不值。 Robinhood 的预测市场如何运作 Robinhood 表示，这其中没有任何隐藏的技巧：如果一份合约的价格为 53 美分，则意味着市场认为该结果发生的概率约为 53%。用户还可以在事件结束前出售其头寸，从而根据价格走势获利或止损。 每个事件合约都遵循简单的“是”或“否”格式，类似于 Polymarket 等其他预测市场。Robinhood 在常见问题解答部分解释道：“如果您拥有的每个合约的结果对您有利，则该合约将支付 1 美元。如果不是，则支付 0 美元。” 你可能还喜欢：第 1 集。去中心化预测市场是 alpha 的未来吗？ 用户可以在给定合约上选择“是”或“否”一方，但不能在同一事件中同时持有双方。但是，他们可以在不同的配对中采取多种立场。该平台还显示未平仓合约（用户持有的活跃合约数量），以提供对市场活动的洞察。 该公司补充说，Robinhood 每份合约每方收取 0.01 美元的佣金，执行订单的经纪公司可能会收取额外费用。这家经纪巨头表示，其事件合约受商品期货交易委员会监管，并与其竞争对手 Kalshi 合作提供，Kalshi 是另一个预测市场平台，允许用户对选举、新闻事件和流行文化下注。 隐藏的陷阱 Robinhood 扩大其预测市场服务的计划仍不确定，因为该领域一直存在争议，而市场解决方案的争议是一个反复出现的问题。 Polymarket 是交易量最大的预测市场之一，其决策过程曾多次受到批评。其中一个案例涉及一个名为“以色列会在 9 月入侵黎巴嫩吗？”的市场 9 月 30 日晚，以色列在黎巴嫩发动军事行动，将真主党部队从边境赶回。尽管各大新闻媒体普遍将这一行动称为“入侵”，暗示市场应该做出“是”的回应，但最终结果却是“否”，引发了交易员的强烈反对。 A Polymarket market resolution regarding the outcome of whether Israel invaded Lebanon in September | Source: Polymarket The decision hinged on Polymarket’s strict interpretation of its rules. Although Israeli troops entered Lebanon, some participants argued that an “invasion” required an official declaration or an effort to seize and hold territory — criteria Israel had not explicitly met. Despite the widespread use of the term “invasion” in media coverage, the market was ruled not to have technically fulfilled the conditions for a yes outcome. Robinhood 进军事件合约领域，进一步体现了金融平台提供超越传统股票和加密货币的新交易类型的更广泛趋势。此外，这也不是该经纪公司首次尝试预测市场，因为在 11 月大选之前，Robinhood 曾短暂推出过自己的服务，后来又宣布了超级碗结果预测市场。然而，在今年 2 月份，在美国商品期货交易委员会 (CFTC) 指示该公司“不允许客户访问”体育赛事合约后，Robinhood 撤回了该服务。 当时，Robinhood 对此表示失望，并表示在推出该产品之前，它一直“与 CFTC 保持定期沟通，讨论我们提供该产品的意图和计划”。 阅读更多：What are prediction markets in crypto?

Bitcoin’s solid April performance has caught attention, with Galaxy Digital saying investors are starting to rethink its role in portfolios. As markets struggled to find direction in April amid fresh tariffs and growing policy concerns, Bitcoin (BTC) quietly climbed 11%, doing better than gold, tech stocks, and even the U.S. dollar, raising new questions about its role in today’s market, analysts at Galaxy Digital wrote in a recent research report. Galaxy Digital said this may be a sign that investors are beginning to treat Bitcoin “less as a speculative vehicle and more as a strategic, long-duration allocation.” “The shift is particularly evident when looking at fund flows. U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $2.9 billion of net inflows in April, a sharp reversal from about $4.4 billion in outflows across February and March.” Galaxy Digital In early April, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs, triggering market volatility. While the Nasdaq stayed flat and the Bloomberg Dollar Index fell nearly 4%, gold jumped 5.75% before pulling back. But Bitcoin led the pack with double-digit gains and showed lower volatility than the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. You might also like:Bitcoin price poised for breakout with $127k target if $106k cracks soon Ian Kolman, director & co-portfolio manager at Galaxy Digital says Bitcoin’s supply and demand dynamics are “solidifying its place as a mature digital store of value.” The New York-headquartered firm noted that Bitcoin’s 30-day correlations with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain elevated, but its beta has declined, suggesting that while it still moves somewhat with equities, its sensitivity to market stress is fading. Galaxy Digital suggests these trends reflect “broader recalibration” by investors who are now hedging against “systemic concerns — ranging from political interference in the Federal Reserve to the long-term sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy.” As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $102,795, up 9.17% over the past week, per crypto.news’ price tracking page. Read more:Whale accumulation suggests Bitcoin could be eyeing $110K even as retail capitulates: Santiment

Hong Kong-based crypto firm HashKey has launched a new initiative to rate cryptocurrencies and exchanges in a bid to enhance market transparency and compliance. Cryptocurrency trading group HashKey has unveiled a new initiative to rate cryptocurrencies and crypto exchanges in Hong Kong to help the local crypto businesses align with regulatory framework for virtual assets, issued by the Securities and Futures Commission. In an X post on Thursday, March 27, HashKey said it partnered with the Hong Kong Virtual Asset Rating Company, which will provide three key services: virtual asset ratings, exchange ratings, and virtual asset indices. According to HashKey, the initiative aims to build an “industry evaluation ecosystem” offering “objective quantitative standards” for both exchanges and investors. The goal is to strengthen market transparency and create compliance benchmarks, which, in turn, could help solidify Hong Kong’s role as a global virtual asset hub. Per HashKey, the ratings would provide risk indicators to help investors make more informed decisions. You might also like:Fake ‘Hong Kong coin’ promoted by chief executive impersonator account Earlier in February, Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission proposed increasing its staff, with a particular focus on monitoring virtual asset trading platforms, improving market surveillance, and ramping up enforcement. In its budget plan for the 2025–26 financial year, the SFC is seeking 15 new hires, eight of whom will be dedicated to virtual asset regulation. HashKey 从总部位于北京的高榕创投获得了 3000 万美元的投资，该公司的估值为 15 亿美元。此前不久，该集团的投资部门 HashKey Capital 获得了香港证监会的批准，可以为高净值客户管理加密投资产品。 阅读更多：调查显示香港 Z 世代更青睐比特币而非房地产